Ole Miss -12.5 at +240.
1. The eye test doesn't lie. Yes, Tiger Stadium is hard to win at night. But it also dies down really, really quickly if the other team gets up multiple scores. I think, given the matchups, we're in a spot to start out hot and not look back.
2. It comes down to who I trust more. Do I trust the Ole Miss defense more or the LSU offense? I think they might have some success, but no one has pushed our defensive line around all year. Our strength is on the interior defensive line, and their strength is on the edge. And on the opposite side, which do I feel is worse, the Ole Miss offense or the LSU defense? The only matchup that gives me concern is LSU's offensive line giving Nuss enough time to take advantage of one of our weaker spots in the secondary.
3. Jaxson Dart has been a warrior. We have a BYE week, so what do you think that means? I'd set the O/U on Dart rushes at 13.5. I think some of our remedy for the stagnant running game is to let him loose this game with some much-needed rest coming next Saturday.
4. One of the issues that we dealt with last year was Daniels extending plays. Nussmeier isn't going to rush 15 times like Daniels did. I think Nuss is a great talent and an NFL guy, but he doesn't present the multifaceted problems that Daniels did for us last year. That's why I'd be hesitant on taking the over.
I won't be surprised if it's close. I just feel like -12.5 is a good value bet given the dynamics. I've always felt good about this game because of the matchup. Everyone that is hyping LSU here is talking about things that aren't really matchup-related (Tiger Stadium is loud, Ole Miss historical, etc.). I just feel like that's usually a recipe for a multiple score win for the other team.
1. The eye test doesn't lie. Yes, Tiger Stadium is hard to win at night. But it also dies down really, really quickly if the other team gets up multiple scores. I think, given the matchups, we're in a spot to start out hot and not look back.
2. It comes down to who I trust more. Do I trust the Ole Miss defense more or the LSU offense? I think they might have some success, but no one has pushed our defensive line around all year. Our strength is on the interior defensive line, and their strength is on the edge. And on the opposite side, which do I feel is worse, the Ole Miss offense or the LSU defense? The only matchup that gives me concern is LSU's offensive line giving Nuss enough time to take advantage of one of our weaker spots in the secondary.
3. Jaxson Dart has been a warrior. We have a BYE week, so what do you think that means? I'd set the O/U on Dart rushes at 13.5. I think some of our remedy for the stagnant running game is to let him loose this game with some much-needed rest coming next Saturday.
4. One of the issues that we dealt with last year was Daniels extending plays. Nussmeier isn't going to rush 15 times like Daniels did. I think Nuss is a great talent and an NFL guy, but he doesn't present the multifaceted problems that Daniels did for us last year. That's why I'd be hesitant on taking the over.
I won't be surprised if it's close. I just feel like -12.5 is a good value bet given the dynamics. I've always felt good about this game because of the matchup. Everyone that is hyping LSU here is talking about things that aren't really matchup-related (Tiger Stadium is loud, Ole Miss historical, etc.). I just feel like that's usually a recipe for a multiple score win for the other team.
