1. UGA loses to Tech (currently 7-4) - UGA falls to 9-3 and must win SEC champ game
2. UGA beats Tech but gets spanked by TX in SEC champ game - UGA falls to 10-3 with bad loss compared to OM at 9-3 with big win over UGA.
3. TN loses @ Vandy (6-5). TN is out out out if they lose to Vandy. Another SEC team will absolutely replace them or Sankey will have a stroke. He’s getting four in.
4. Indiana loses to Purdue (1-10) - least likely option on table. They lose they’re toast.
5. Bama loses to AU (5-6). Bama falls to 8-4 and heads to Nashville.
6. SMU loses to CAL (6-5). SMU would likely fall all the way out (currently at 9). That would be loses to CAL and BYU. SMU has already clinched ACC championship game spot.
7. SMU beats CAL but loses bad to Miami - Miami is the only ACC bid - this isn’t great odds bc Clemson would likely slide in if they beat SC
8. Miami loses @ Syracuse (8-3) putting Clemson in ACC championship game against SMU. Miami might survive this since they’re number 6. It would be a 3 loss SEC team versus Miami argument for last spot. Remember FSU got left home last year. ACC has no respect nationally.
9. SMU then goes and loses to Clemson in ACC title game AND Clemson is only ACC team selected. This is best case scenario for ACC to only get one team unless SCarolina beats Clemson.
10. Clemson needs to beat S Carolina - and eliminate them. SC win and they likely jump OM. It would be a great debate. OM could stay ahead of them - who knows what committee would do. How do you answer “both teams have the same record and OM beat SC bad at SC, but you picked SC???”
11. Texas needs to beat A&M and eliminate a miracle AM run (they beat Texas and then beat UGA in title game - and get in the CFP which would happen.)
I don’t know anymore than any of you, but it seems there are 8 locked in teams as of now:
Group of 5 - either Boise or Tulane (1 team)
ACC - only one team as of now - TBD on that team (1 team)
Notre Dame - even with USC loss they’re in - not dropping them from 5 to OUT (1 team)
Big Ten - OR, OSU, Penn St (3 teams)
SEC - Texas (1 team)
Big 12 - Championship Game winner (1 team)
There are 8 other teams with a chance
ACC - one additional TBD team (1 team)
Big Ten - Indiana (beat terribly Purdue and they’re in) (1 team)
SEC - UGA, TN, BAMA, OM, SC, A&M (6 teams)
This season has caused me to lose my mind, so I might as well stay on the insanity pathway for a few more days and hope the Rebs get in. If you need inspiration, just remember the Omaha pathway that led to CWS title.
2. UGA beats Tech but gets spanked by TX in SEC champ game - UGA falls to 10-3 with bad loss compared to OM at 9-3 with big win over UGA.
3. TN loses @ Vandy (6-5). TN is out out out if they lose to Vandy. Another SEC team will absolutely replace them or Sankey will have a stroke. He’s getting four in.
4. Indiana loses to Purdue (1-10) - least likely option on table. They lose they’re toast.
5. Bama loses to AU (5-6). Bama falls to 8-4 and heads to Nashville.
6. SMU loses to CAL (6-5). SMU would likely fall all the way out (currently at 9). That would be loses to CAL and BYU. SMU has already clinched ACC championship game spot.
7. SMU beats CAL but loses bad to Miami - Miami is the only ACC bid - this isn’t great odds bc Clemson would likely slide in if they beat SC
8. Miami loses @ Syracuse (8-3) putting Clemson in ACC championship game against SMU. Miami might survive this since they’re number 6. It would be a 3 loss SEC team versus Miami argument for last spot. Remember FSU got left home last year. ACC has no respect nationally.
9. SMU then goes and loses to Clemson in ACC title game AND Clemson is only ACC team selected. This is best case scenario for ACC to only get one team unless SCarolina beats Clemson.
10. Clemson needs to beat S Carolina - and eliminate them. SC win and they likely jump OM. It would be a great debate. OM could stay ahead of them - who knows what committee would do. How do you answer “both teams have the same record and OM beat SC bad at SC, but you picked SC???”
11. Texas needs to beat A&M and eliminate a miracle AM run (they beat Texas and then beat UGA in title game - and get in the CFP which would happen.)
I don’t know anymore than any of you, but it seems there are 8 locked in teams as of now:
Group of 5 - either Boise or Tulane (1 team)
ACC - only one team as of now - TBD on that team (1 team)
Notre Dame - even with USC loss they’re in - not dropping them from 5 to OUT (1 team)
Big Ten - OR, OSU, Penn St (3 teams)
SEC - Texas (1 team)
Big 12 - Championship Game winner (1 team)
There are 8 other teams with a chance
ACC - one additional TBD team (1 team)
Big Ten - Indiana (beat terribly Purdue and they’re in) (1 team)
SEC - UGA, TN, BAMA, OM, SC, A&M (6 teams)
This season has caused me to lose my mind, so I might as well stay on the insanity pathway for a few more days and hope the Rebs get in. If you need inspiration, just remember the Omaha pathway that led to CWS title.
