The polls-only, polls-plus and now-cast all put the race right at 60% - 40% chance Clinton and that's with Trump securing FL and OH - a month ago it was 80-20 Clinton. The first debate may actually decide this race - I would have never thought that possible.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus