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AI predicts OM Baseball conference record

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I asked Grok where it thought OM would finish inside the conference given the early season results and stats and this is the answer it spit out.

Summery for the TLDR crowd: From and 8th to 10th place finish with a 14-16 or 15-15 record.

Predicting where Ole Miss will finish in the SEC for the 2025 college baseball season as of March 11, 2025, involves looking at their early performance, roster changes, schedule, and how they stack up against the conference’s meat grinder. Let’s break it down with what we’ve got so far.


The 2025 season is just underway—Ole Miss kicked off February 14 in the Shriners Children’s College Showdown against Arizona, Texas, and Clemson, a brutal opening test. As of now, with limited games played (we’re pre-SEC slate), concrete stats are thin, but we can lean on preseason expectations and early trends. The Rebels were pegged 15th out of 16 in the SEC coaches’ preseason poll, ahead only of Missouri, with Texas A&M, Tennessee, and Arkansas topping the list. That’s a grim starting point, reflecting two straight losing seasons (27-29 in 2024) and no NCAA Tournament since their 2022 title. But polls aren’t destiny—ask Tennessee, who climbed from low expectations to a natty last year.


Early results show promise. Baseball America’s March 11 Top 25 ranks Ole Miss at No. 19 nationally after a 4-0 week, including a win over No. 24 Southern Miss and a sweep of Wright State. They’re 10-1 overall, with their only loss to No. 12 Texas in the opener. Offensively, Luke Hill (.421/.538/.711), Ryan Moerman (.357/.460/.762), Mitchell Sanford (.297/.438/.459), and Judd Utermark (.293/.396/.683) are driving the bus, accounting for over half the team’s RBIs. Pitching-wise, Hunter Elliott (3-0, 0.00 ERA) is back from injury and dominant, backed by a deep bullpen. That’s a hot start, but it’s against non-SEC foes—Eastern Kentucky, Arkansas State, and the like. The real test begins March 14 with Arkansas at Swayze Field.


The SEC schedule is a beast: home series against Arkansas, Florida, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and Auburn, plus road trips to Missouri, Kentucky, South Carolina, and Mississippi State. With Texas and Oklahoma joining, the conference is 16 deep, and the new format—two permanent opponents (likely Mississippi State and someone else) and eight rotating ones for 30 games—means no weak weekends. Last year, Ole Miss went 11-19 in SEC play, finishing 10th. To climb higher, they’ll need to steal wins against top dogs like Tennessee (No. 1 nationally, 11-0) or Texas A&M (projected SEC champ).


Roster-wise, Ole Miss reloaded via the transfer portal after losing stars like Ethan Groff. Coach Mike Bianco’s banking on veterans like Elliott and that quartet of hitters, plus freshmen and transfers gelling fast. D1Baseball’s Fall Report noted their upside, but consistency’s been the bugbear. If they sustain this early pop—say, hitting .300+ and keeping ERA under 4.00—they could surprise. Last year’s SEC standings had Tennessee and Kentucky at 22-8, Arkansas at 20-10, and Ole Miss at 11-19. A jump to .500 (15-15) feels doable with this offense and Elliott anchoring the rotation.


Given the current vibe—strong non-conference play, a tough but navigable SEC draw, and a chip on their shoulder—I’d predict Ole Miss finishes 8th to 10th in the SEC. That’s a climb from 15th, landing them in the middle pack, maybe 14-16 or 15-15 in conference. They’ve got the bats to upset a few giants (Arkansas at home, Missouri on the road), but the gauntlet of Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and Kentucky could cap their ceiling. If Elliott stays lights-out and the bullpen holds, they might sniff NCAA regional territory (top 8 in SEC often gets you there). Too early for precision, but they’re not bottom-feeders—think just below Mississippi State (projected mid-tier) and above Missouri or Auburn.


What do you reckon—any specific games or players you want me to zoom in on?
 
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