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CFP Chaos - Potential for the Rebs?

OGReb

NFL's No. 1 Draft Choice
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Oct 7, 2019
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With two weeks left in the CFB regular season, the college football playoff picture is starting to look a little more clear. The latest ranking came out last night that has the Rebs ranked 12th, I've linked the poll below for anyone that hasn't seen it. The first thing that jumped out at me while the poll was being revealed was the amount of potential chaos that can happen from the 2nd spot on. There is potential for some serious upheaval in the rankings that could greatly benefit the Rebs. Not enough to get them to 4 I don't believe but definitely enough to get the into the top 7, maybe even as high as 5. I'll list the teams and their remaining schedules below. The path is there...


2) Alabama [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: vs. Arkansas, @ Auburn, potential matchup with UGA in the SECCG
- FPI chance of winning out: 30.5%

3) Oregon [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: @ #23 Utah, vs Oregon State, potential PAC-12CG
- FPI chance of winning out: 14.5%

4) Ohio St. [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: vs #7 Michigan St., @ #6 Michigan, potential B1GCG
- FPI chance of winning out: 43.3%

5) Cincinnati [10-0]
- Remaining Schedule: vs. SMU, vs. East Carolina, AACCG vs. #24 Houston
- FPI chance of winning out: 47.8%

6) Michigan [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: @ Maryland, vs. #4 Ohio St., potential B1GCG
- FPI chance of winning out: 23.2%

7) Michigan St. [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: @ #4 Ohio St., vs Penn St, potential B1GCG
- FPI chance of winning out: 3.9%

8) Notre Dame [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: vs. Georgia Tech, @ Stanford
- FPI chance of wining out: 73.3%

9) Oklahoma St. [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: @ Texas Tech, vs. #13 Oklahoma, potential B12CG
- FPI chance of wining out: 23.3%

10) Wake Forest [9-1]
- Remaining Schedule: @ Clemson, @ Boston College, potential ACCCG
- FPI chance of winning out: 7.8%

11) Baylor [8-2]
- Remaining Schedule: @ Kansas St., vs. Texas Tech, potential BIG12CG
- FPI chance of winning out: 23.4

As was stated on the show last night, no team has ever made the CFP from any position worse the #9 at this point in the season - HOWEVER - I can't remember a season that had this much potential chaos remaining. Maybe 2013 when TCU ended up getting screwed in favor of Michigan State after some final week upsets. Point being, I think anything is up in the air in these last 3 weeks. The highest I can see the Rebs rising is 5th because I just don't see the committee putting a team in that didn't make it to their conference championship game - unless Bama loses their next two and we get in.

Going to be an exciting next 3 weeks regardless. Would love to hear y'all's thoughts.
 
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