I've used this method, and the point spread, for years to determine if I'm making a bet...and for how much.
0 - No chance of winning
50 - Toss-up
100 - No chance of losing
100 - UT-Martin (Whatever)
97 - Fresno State (If Bama wasn't next week, this would be 99)
39 - Bama (Away, a "wash" at defense, edge to their running game & OL)
92 - Vandy (Right after Bama, or would be a 98)
68 - Florida (Away, but Florida "O" will struggle mightily. DB's will offer challenge to our strength, but breaking-in new staff)
99 - New Mexico State (Yawn)
74 - Tigah High ( Away - "smile". Their "O" will struggle mightily. Their "D" cannot hold up all night)
61 - aTm (Home. Lot of talent on that team. Plenty of time for "D" to improve under Chavis. Their "O" CAN be dangerous.)
43 - Auburn (Away. Edge to their "O" unless we force turnovers. "D" will improve under Muschamp, but our "D" still much better)
71 - Pigs (Home, Revenge factor. Edge to our "O". Big edge to our "D" based on their losses. After Auburn - VERY fluid)
58 - LSUx (Home. Rival. Their "O" is too 1-dimensional. Best secondary we'll face all year. Pressure could be mounting tho)
63 - The Moo (Away. Obstacle to our "special" season? Dak makes their "O" competent. "D" will have to quiet their crowd)
6 wins are a given
1 more very likely
Odds in our favor to get (3) of the remaining (5), but certainly not a given.
0 - No chance of winning
50 - Toss-up
100 - No chance of losing
100 - UT-Martin (Whatever)
97 - Fresno State (If Bama wasn't next week, this would be 99)
39 - Bama (Away, a "wash" at defense, edge to their running game & OL)
92 - Vandy (Right after Bama, or would be a 98)
68 - Florida (Away, but Florida "O" will struggle mightily. DB's will offer challenge to our strength, but breaking-in new staff)
99 - New Mexico State (Yawn)
74 - Tigah High ( Away - "smile". Their "O" will struggle mightily. Their "D" cannot hold up all night)
61 - aTm (Home. Lot of talent on that team. Plenty of time for "D" to improve under Chavis. Their "O" CAN be dangerous.)
43 - Auburn (Away. Edge to their "O" unless we force turnovers. "D" will improve under Muschamp, but our "D" still much better)
71 - Pigs (Home, Revenge factor. Edge to our "O". Big edge to our "D" based on their losses. After Auburn - VERY fluid)
58 - LSUx (Home. Rival. Their "O" is too 1-dimensional. Best secondary we'll face all year. Pressure could be mounting tho)
63 - The Moo (Away. Obstacle to our "special" season? Dak makes their "O" competent. "D" will have to quiet their crowd)
6 wins are a given
1 more very likely
Odds in our favor to get (3) of the remaining (5), but certainly not a given.
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