Assuming the SEC gets 4 bids:
Georgia, Texas, LSU are essentially locks.
Tennessee, A&M, Bama, OM are all competing for the last spot.
Tennessee has a bad loss to Arky.
Bama has a bad loss to Vandy.
A&M with no “bad loss” but still have LSU and Texas on the schedule plus a game at South Carolina.
I think OM’s best path looks something like this:
Win out
LSU wins out
Texas wins out
Georgia loses to OM and wins out.
A&M drops a game to South Carolina.
Georgia, Texas, LSU are essentially locks.
Tennessee, A&M, Bama, OM are all competing for the last spot.
Tennessee has a bad loss to Arky.
Bama has a bad loss to Vandy.
A&M with no “bad loss” but still have LSU and Texas on the schedule plus a game at South Carolina.
I think OM’s best path looks something like this:
Win out
LSU wins out
Texas wins out
Georgia loses to OM and wins out.
A&M drops a game to South Carolina.
