Pythagorean Winning Percentage | Glossary | MLB.com
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Pythagorean winning percentage is a formula developed by renowned statistician Bill James. The concept strives to determine the number of games that a team *should* have won -- based its total number of runs scored versus its number of runs allowed -- in an effort to better forecast that team's future outlook.
2024
Runs Allowed - 230
Runs Scored - 148
Pythagorean expected win percentage - .293
Pythagorean expected wins - 8.8
Actual win percentage - .366
Actual wins - 11
2023
RA - 246
RS - 151
PEW% - .274
PEW - 8.22
AWP - .2
AW - 6
Total 2023/2024 combined
RA - 476
RS - 299
PEW% - .283
PEW - 16.98
AWP - .283
AW - 17
@Chase Parham you asked about this on the pod the other day. Crazy how it evened out to the exact number when you increased the sample. 17-43 with no bad luck involved.
