Symptom Surveillance
Looks great.
Testing Data
~1.84 million tests is the 7 day average. 1 week ago it was 1.9 million.
~143k positives is the 7 day moving average with % positive at ~7.7%. 1 week ago this was 165k/8.8%.
Hospitalization Data
Hosp. 109k--> 93k (-15%)
ICU.... 20.9k--> 18.5k (-12%)
Vent... 6.8k--> 6k (-12%)
Fatality Data
Total deaths at 433,751 per CTP.
7 day moving average is ~3100
State Data
Mississippi.
Syndrome surveillance continues to wane and follow the national decline. Hospitalizations are down 35% in 3 weeks and about 10% week over week. All regions have declined and Jackson is sparkling like a diamond compared with a month ago. The question now is what happens in late winter/early spring. Since there was a substantial fall/early winter, I'd expect the last portion of the season to be less dramatic. I think this will be true for most states. Remains to be seen what happens in the plains and upper midwest where they've really only had one wave.
Texas:
12785--> 11074 (-13%)
Laredo may finally be cooling off here. Most of the state has improved quite a bit with the exception of that area.
Florida.
Hosp: 6899--> 6142 (-11%)
Take note of the state without a second wave of any significant degree. The best response nationwide, hands down. Every state could have been this way. Every single one. Traditional pandemic measures work.
Alabama.
Hosp: 2285--> 1888 (-17%)
Georgia:
5231--> 4438 (-15%)
California.
Hosp 18347--> 15212 (-17%)
Comments:
1. Placental transfer of antibody protection to the fetus occurred in 87% of patients. That's a good thing. "high rates of placental antibody transfer were seen both in women who experienced no COVID-19 symptoms and in those with mild, moderate, and severe illness."
www.cidrap.umn.edu
2. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/01/health/have-you-had-covid-19-coronavirus.html
“I think one vaccination should be sufficient,” said Florian Krammer, a virologist at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai and an author on the study. “This would also spare individuals from unnecessary pain when getting the second dose and it would free up additional vaccine doses.” He is speaking of individuals who have already had the virus. I tend to disagree. If you've had it and have antibodies, I see no reason to be vaccinated. The risk/benefit advantage just isn't there. That could change with time if antibody levels wane or we see a lot of re-infections after a year or two.
3. Antiviral treatments have to be given early for the benefit to be seen. This is true with plasma as well. https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...tudy-plasma-coronavirus-treatment/3384032001/
"The study's lead researcher, Michael Joyner, estimates that plasma treatments could reduce the COVID-19 mortality rate by 20 to 50% in the general population."
4. I'll just leave this here: https://www.amjmed.com/article/S0002-9343(20)30673-2/fulltext
This is in the American Journal of Medicine. But I'll bet there are some non-physician board members who know better. LOL.
5. What pandemic did Sweden have again? Zero excess mortality...
6. I don't think that UK, South African virus variant porn can get much traction in light of this:
More contagious! More deadly! Erm... no.
7. The more prepared for the pandemic, the worse you did with the pandemic. LOL.
8. I've heard Fauci say, in less than one week... "[two masks] makes common sense", and “There’s no data that indicates that that is going to make a difference”
If this doesn't make you question everything that comes out of his mouth...
9. https://www.aier.org/article/in-the-asian-flu-of-1957-58-they-rejected-lockdowns/
"Public health experts did in fact consider school closures, business closures, and a ban of public events but the entire ethos of the profession rejected them. There were two grounds for this rejection: lockdowns would be too disruptive, disabling the capacity of medical professionals to deal competently with the crisis, and also because such policies would be futile because the virus was already here and spreading.
Whereas lockdowns in the Covid-19 case might have contributed to a lengthening of the crisis by delaying herd immunity, the period in which the Asian flu had the most severe consequences was only three months. "
Yes. Yes. Yes. We did this... we did it to ourselves. Too bad DA Henderson wasn't directing this response. Yes, that Henderson... eradicator of smallpox. I'm sure he's just an idiot.
10. "The most expensive, invasive, and potentially destructive medical intervention ever attempted by humanity. Was there any evidence from anywhere, in history, that lockdowns would work? No, there was none."
https://t.co/oSVAWKoWMe?amp=1
drmalcolmkendrick.org
11. Iran to use Ivermectin. https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/457126/Iran-begins-production-of-new-anti-corona-medicine
12. Australian city of Perth. In lockdown... for one case. https://t.co/FJ3UUXzCCm?amp=1
13. Basically, the WHO is saying here... "stop vaccinating those at minimal risk so we can use the vaccine elsewhere for the vulnerable." Good on the WHO.
www.theguardian.com
14. Another week, another study showing the lack of child transmission and safety of schools... oh, and no masks.
Low COVID19 transmission between kids even under rigorous testing. Eurosurveillance. Minimal transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from paediatric COVID-19 cases in primary schools, Norway, August to November 2020" https://t.co/KcIFItKrir?amp=1
15. India ranks 105th in deaths per million in the world. No lockdowns since May. Just throwing that out there.
16. Good news. J&J Vaccine effective against severe disease. https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/covid19/90942
17. https://t.co/milr2tYPHj?amp=1
Risk of children dying from COVID is 1 in 1 million, per JAMA study. They are 10x more likely to die by suicide.
18. Sweet. Now we can have more heart attacks, strokes and cancers to deal with. https://t.co/qSIz5XMxUx?amp=1
19. CDC 2020 mortality data is nearly completed. Its going to be about 250k excess deaths... subtract about 1/3 and that is CV19 death toll for 2020. The other 1/3 are lockdown deaths and/or false positves.
20. Not natural. https://t.co/JCm9opuTOU?amp=1
Probably keep these going until March. I want to see how the late winter/spring goes before stopping.
Cheers RGers
Looks great.
Testing Data
~1.84 million tests is the 7 day average. 1 week ago it was 1.9 million.
~143k positives is the 7 day moving average with % positive at ~7.7%. 1 week ago this was 165k/8.8%.
Hospitalization Data
Hosp. 109k--> 93k (-15%)
ICU.... 20.9k--> 18.5k (-12%)
Vent... 6.8k--> 6k (-12%)
Fatality Data
Total deaths at 433,751 per CTP.
7 day moving average is ~3100
State Data
Mississippi.
Syndrome surveillance continues to wane and follow the national decline. Hospitalizations are down 35% in 3 weeks and about 10% week over week. All regions have declined and Jackson is sparkling like a diamond compared with a month ago. The question now is what happens in late winter/early spring. Since there was a substantial fall/early winter, I'd expect the last portion of the season to be less dramatic. I think this will be true for most states. Remains to be seen what happens in the plains and upper midwest where they've really only had one wave.
Texas:
12785--> 11074 (-13%)
Laredo may finally be cooling off here. Most of the state has improved quite a bit with the exception of that area.
Florida.
Hosp: 6899--> 6142 (-11%)
Take note of the state without a second wave of any significant degree. The best response nationwide, hands down. Every state could have been this way. Every single one. Traditional pandemic measures work.
Alabama.
Hosp: 2285--> 1888 (-17%)
Georgia:
5231--> 4438 (-15%)
California.
Hosp 18347--> 15212 (-17%)
Comments:
1. Placental transfer of antibody protection to the fetus occurred in 87% of patients. That's a good thing. "high rates of placental antibody transfer were seen both in women who experienced no COVID-19 symptoms and in those with mild, moderate, and severe illness."
COVID-19 antibodies transmit from moms to babies during pregnancy
Antibodies crossed the placenta in 87% of pregnant women who had COVID-19.
2. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/01/health/have-you-had-covid-19-coronavirus.html
“I think one vaccination should be sufficient,” said Florian Krammer, a virologist at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai and an author on the study. “This would also spare individuals from unnecessary pain when getting the second dose and it would free up additional vaccine doses.” He is speaking of individuals who have already had the virus. I tend to disagree. If you've had it and have antibodies, I see no reason to be vaccinated. The risk/benefit advantage just isn't there. That could change with time if antibody levels wane or we see a lot of re-infections after a year or two.
3. Antiviral treatments have to be given early for the benefit to be seen. This is true with plasma as well. https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...tudy-plasma-coronavirus-treatment/3384032001/
"The study's lead researcher, Michael Joyner, estimates that plasma treatments could reduce the COVID-19 mortality rate by 20 to 50% in the general population."
4. I'll just leave this here: https://www.amjmed.com/article/S0002-9343(20)30673-2/fulltext
This is in the American Journal of Medicine. But I'll bet there are some non-physician board members who know better. LOL.
5. What pandemic did Sweden have again? Zero excess mortality...
6. I don't think that UK, South African virus variant porn can get much traction in light of this:
More contagious! More deadly! Erm... no.
7. The more prepared for the pandemic, the worse you did with the pandemic. LOL.
8. I've heard Fauci say, in less than one week... "[two masks] makes common sense", and “There’s no data that indicates that that is going to make a difference”
If this doesn't make you question everything that comes out of his mouth...
9. https://www.aier.org/article/in-the-asian-flu-of-1957-58-they-rejected-lockdowns/
"Public health experts did in fact consider school closures, business closures, and a ban of public events but the entire ethos of the profession rejected them. There were two grounds for this rejection: lockdowns would be too disruptive, disabling the capacity of medical professionals to deal competently with the crisis, and also because such policies would be futile because the virus was already here and spreading.
Whereas lockdowns in the Covid-19 case might have contributed to a lengthening of the crisis by delaying herd immunity, the period in which the Asian flu had the most severe consequences was only three months. "
Yes. Yes. Yes. We did this... we did it to ourselves. Too bad DA Henderson wasn't directing this response. Yes, that Henderson... eradicator of smallpox. I'm sure he's just an idiot.
10. "The most expensive, invasive, and potentially destructive medical intervention ever attempted by humanity. Was there any evidence from anywhere, in history, that lockdowns would work? No, there was none."
https://t.co/oSVAWKoWMe?amp=1
Does Lockdown work, or not?
27th January 2021 This blog was published on RT-com, after much discussion and a few changes. It can be seen here It took a few days. The editors were concerned about the fact-checkers having a go…
drmalcolmkendrick.org
11. Iran to use Ivermectin. https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/457126/Iran-begins-production-of-new-anti-corona-medicine
12. Australian city of Perth. In lockdown... for one case. https://t.co/FJ3UUXzCCm?amp=1
13. Basically, the WHO is saying here... "stop vaccinating those at minimal risk so we can use the vaccine elsewhere for the vulnerable." Good on the WHO.
WHO urges Britain to pause Covid jabs after treating vulnerable
Move would help poorer countries receive vaccine, says World Health Organization
14. Another week, another study showing the lack of child transmission and safety of schools... oh, and no masks.
Low COVID19 transmission between kids even under rigorous testing. Eurosurveillance. Minimal transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from paediatric COVID-19 cases in primary schools, Norway, August to November 2020" https://t.co/KcIFItKrir?amp=1
15. India ranks 105th in deaths per million in the world. No lockdowns since May. Just throwing that out there.
16. Good news. J&J Vaccine effective against severe disease. https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/covid19/90942
17. https://t.co/milr2tYPHj?amp=1
Risk of children dying from COVID is 1 in 1 million, per JAMA study. They are 10x more likely to die by suicide.
18. Sweet. Now we can have more heart attacks, strokes and cancers to deal with. https://t.co/qSIz5XMxUx?amp=1
19. CDC 2020 mortality data is nearly completed. Its going to be about 250k excess deaths... subtract about 1/3 and that is CV19 death toll for 2020. The other 1/3 are lockdown deaths and/or false positves.
20. Not natural. https://t.co/JCm9opuTOU?amp=1
Probably keep these going until March. I want to see how the late winter/spring goes before stopping.
Cheers RGers
