I want to be clear about something before I start today. The virus is a big deal. It's deadly, especially if you have serious co-morbid conditions and/or are over 65. I think every single well-minded physician will tell you that. They would also tell you that MS is busy right now with hospitalizations. Now let's be clear about something else. If you are none of those things listed, this virus is influenza like for you. If you are under 40 and healthy, it is less than influenza like for you. That is factual. However, exceptions will occur and people will succumb to the disease unexpectedly. As a physician, that grieves me. But you cannot make policy based upon exceptions that affect the masses in at least as meaningful a manner, i.e., cancer deaths.
Finally, we have to deal with it. You cannot stop a contagious aerosolized respiratory virus... it will eventually make its way through the population. Ask Hong Kong.
https://variety.com/2020/film/asia/hong-kong-cinemas-close-coronavirus-return-1234704741/
Just want to apologize to many of you. I have not been able to respond to a lot of messages in a timely manner this week. It's just busy and when Neal tweeted out the link and I took the governor to task over herd immunity on twitter, I have been inundated with requests for anything and everything including radio. It's been madness for 48 hours. Aight, let's go...
Testing Data
~760k tests yesterday.
~41.8 million total tests performed to date.
~62.8k positives with percentage positive at ~8.2%.
7 states were 63% of new cases today: Texas, California, Arizona, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina and Louisiana. Those 7 states had a 12.6% positive testing percentage. The other 44 states were 5.2% positive.
Hospitalization Data
Hosp: 41700--> 43004---> 43895--> 51544--> 51798--> 52578--> 53916--> 55509 (13%)
ICU... 5826----> 5867-----> 5839----> 5889---> 5928---> 5919----> 6061--> 6233 (6.9%)
Vent.. 2098----> 2172-----> 2127----> 2197---> 2169---> 2182----> 2259--> 2263 (7.8%)
California and Arizona are at 49.0% of current ICU usage among the 26 states that report it.
60.2% of current national hospitalizations are still in 5 states, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia and Texas. Remember the change in percentage of hospitalization does not have Florida included until we get 8 days of data for the state.
Fatality Data
Total deaths at 128,740 per CTP. 52% of all deaths are in nursing homes (NH). Weekly deaths as below by week (row), and day (column) starting with Sunday with a weekly total at the end and percent fall compared with prior week. 736 deaths today.
358--> 375--> 713--> 782--> 795--> 648--> 630 = 4301 (-16%)
297--> 285--> 703--> 722--> 646--> 636--> 506 = 3778 (-12%)
273--> 332--> 575--> 697--> 634--> 635--> 306 = 3511 (-8%)
209--> 242--> 922--> 760--> 867*-> 777*-> 854 = 4631 (+25%)
476--> 327--> 736
Lower vs last week but higher than the week prior. The deaths today were pretty homogenous and from the areas you would expect without a bunch of data dumps from the usual suspects... looking at you NJ.
State Data
Texas. Deaths 87. 40.6% of deaths in NH's.
Hos: 9286--> 9610--> 9689---> 10002--> 10083--> 10410--> 10405--> 10569 (+14%)
ICU: 2658--> 2730--> 2878----> 2923----> 2913----> 2995---> 3053---> 3144 (+18%)
Still slowing... it's almost there:
Houston area:
Definitely in a plateau, now essentially flat for a week. Admits, ICU admits, ER visits all down and generating a significant trend now. It's busy but they will be fine.
Dallas area: 11 days straight of over 1000 cases but staying in that range. Everything remains plateaued here.
San Antonio... ER down 3 straight. ICU admits back up just a tad but census is flat.
Austin area... Census up a little today.
Hosp: 469--> 485--> 550--> 534--> 440--> 438--> 434--> 459--> 469.
I got nothing.
Hidalgo... Trends are all up if slightly less so. General beds aren't an issue but ICU beds are filling up. 7% remaining without surge. 31 more deaths here today. This is the problem area. That's 160 deaths in 20 days.
Florida. 133 deaths. 49.4% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 6974--> 7186--> 7542--> 8051--> 8354
I think every southern state is going to do this:
Remember that Hope-Simpson's book on influenza I posted a month or two ago? Ok, no... well, this is showing the difference between influenza in different climates. Normally, FL, MS, etc. would follow the pattern seen marked by the arrow. But we are likely doing what would normally be in a more tropical climate (red circle) because of the time of year this hit us... at a time of an incoming tropical climate... spring/summer. I think this, combined with AC indoor aerosolized transmission, explains the patterns better than anything. I'll admit, I'm surprised but now that I've reflected on this a little more, it makes a lot of sense.
Deaths by DOD:
Georgia. 28 deaths, 4 were not from GA again. 45.1% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 1962--> 2096--> 2215--> 2322--> 2443--> 2512--> 2600--> 2741 (+40%)
19% of ICU beds available.
Arizona. 92 deaths today. 49.8% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 3356--> 3421--> 3437--> 3432--> 3485--> 3432--> 3373--> 3517 (+4.7%)
ICU.... 839---> 869----> 861---> 876---> 899----> 922----> 936---> 970 (+15%)
Vent... 544---> 570----> 575---> 615---> 620----> 631----> 671---> 674 (+24%)
Discharges still high. Hospitalizations ran up a bit today after a fall for two days. Vent usage slowed, finally. ER visits down 6 straight days but still too high.
MS. 1 death. 48.2% of deaths in NH's.
393 cases. 106 LTC outbreaks. Weekend numbers most assuredly. Up again tomorrow.
Hosp: 648--> 645--> 686--> 711--> 703--> 704--> 758--> 804 (+24%)
ICU... 173--> 190--> 186--> 205--> 202--> 197--> 208--> 227 (+31%)
Vent... 95---> 101--> 104--> 103--> 107--> 108--> 110--> 126 (+32%)
4 of the top 6 counties by cases are in central MS over the last week with the updated numbers. No wonder UMMC is having news conferences. Harrison was high, Jackson moderate and DeSoto was pretty high as well. We are definitely busy now. Population is about the same as April outbreak in age and co-morbid conditions. No real changes there. Outpatients still skew younger. Big increase in vent/ICU usage day to day. I expect us to reach 1k hospitalizations by next week. That would be about 1/3 of beds in the state I believe. Houston got to ~40. We may get there. We are busy but we can handle it.
Alabama. 40 deaths. Yikes, but they had low numbers for 3 days prior to that... likely some backlog.
Hosp: 1073--> 1110--> 1125--> 1183--> 1201--> 1068--> 1335--> 1353 (+26%).
Louisiana. 7 deaths. 43.5% of total deaths are in NH's.
Hosp: 964--> 1025--> 1022--> 1117--> 1182--> 1243--> 1308--> 1362 (+41%)
Vents..109---> 109---> 105----> 122---> 121----> 134---> 142----> 146 (+34%)
California. 47 deaths. 47.3% of all deaths in NH's.
Hosp 7278--> 7499--> 7705--> 7896--> 7904--> 7854--> 7895--> 8145 (+12%)
ICU.. 1937--> 1984--> 1976--> 2005--> 2021--> 2020--> 2021--> 2083 (+7.5%)
Flat w/w after slowing for a while. Watching that to see if it heads back up.
Arkansas. 8 deaths.
Hosp: 369--> 358--> 394--> 402--> 402--> 412--> 439--> 445 (+20%)
Vent.... 81---> 89----> 82---> 84---> 84----> 84---> 89---> 91 (+12)
Tennessee. 18 Deaths. 1500 cases today.
Hosp: 782--> 800--> 842--> 822--> 808--> 802--> 804--> 863 (+10)
It's still Shelby, Davidson and everywhere else. I showed you the bed numbers here that are available yesterday. Plenty of capacity.
South Carolina. 21 deaths. 44.2% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 1324--> 1404--> 1433--> 1438--> 1396--> 1472--> 1488--> 1550 (+17%)
21-30% of bed capacity still available. Epidemic curve still shaping into a peak around 6/17-6/24 after update today. That bodes well but a lot of cases today.
North Carolina. 42 deaths. 54.2% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 989--> 994--> 1034--> 1046--> 1093--> 1070--> 1040--> 1109 (+12%)
New Jersey. 22 deaths. Don't worry, they'll drop a 50 spot tomorrow. 50% of deaths in NH's.
Illinois. 25 Deaths. 54.6% of deaths are in NH's in this weeks update.
Hosp: 1395--> 1385--> 1385--> 1507--> 1436--> 1342--> 1362--> 1416 (+1.5%)
Comments:
1. Hydroxychloroquine. I had this huge write up for you guys on HCQ today with all the trials I analyzed and accumulated over the weekend. I created a list with comments and then I found this site and it was way better and more organized. https://c19study.com/
The key findings on the negative trials are several. First, one of them was completely withdrawn from the Lancet for faked data. Another, the VA study, the patients in the HCQ group were far more ill and the endpoint was bizarre and the matched analysis was hot garbage. When properly statistically analyzed and propensity matched, there was actually an advantage to HCQ despite the patients being more ill to begin with vs the control. There are also questions on the validity of the data as some VA's have reported not giving data despite being listed as a participant. The negative Solidarity trial out of Brazil dosed HCQ at 12 grams! 2.4-3.2 grams over 5 days is the typical protocol. Those physicians are likely going to jail in Brazil. The UK recovery trial, which still hasn't published its data, also toxically overdosed the patients with 2.4 grams on the first day. This was because they used the wrong drug, hydroxyquinolone, to make the dosing recommendations. Also, none of them gave Zinc to any significant degree and the common theme was late administration, poor protocols and timing of administration. I'm not convinced giving HCQ late in the disease is useful.
2. I still persist that the best trial is the Henry-Ford data for hospitalized patients. However, @pantherplayer4 pointed out, rightfully so, that a lot of them received dexamethasone. But after a full read over the weekend, this was corrected for in the propensity exact matched analysis and both groups received 44.2% steroid treatment. Given that, I think that particular criticism is now unwarranted. I find it superior because the protocol was standardized and over 80% received it within 24 hours and 91% within 48 hours and they excluded patients who died within 24 hours (should have been 48 but I digress). This was a massive study with over 2500 patients. No signs of toxicity seen with HCQ. HCQ reduced mortality by 50%.
3. I don't think you can question outpatient use of HCQ or it's prophylaxis use any longer. The countries that use it have far better outcomes than those that don't. The mechanism of action makes perfect sense. The viral load clearance data is impressive and follows what we know from preclinical data. It accumulates in the mucosa/lungs. The best example is Switzerland.
http://www.francesoir.fr/societe-sante/covid-19-hydroxychloroquine-works-irrefutable-proof
It's one thing to show a list of countries that take it vs those who don't. It's all together different to show this graph. You want correlation? Doesn't equal causation but two events back to back like this perfectly timed to the change? That's hard to explain otherwise.
4. Every physician on this board and anyone else for that matter should demand MS start treating moderate and high risk patients with HCQ/AZI/Zn combo on an outpatient basis. The data is too powerful. 53 positive trials and the earlier it is started, the better the outcome. It's not harmful and cheap as dirt. Call your congressman, senator, governor's office, MSMA office, who the f ever... everyone. There are 200 million doses in federal stockpile. Not a typo.
5. Bahahaha... all the pediatricians said yes, absolutely, without a doubt... to sending their kids back to school!
6. Standing ovation for this lady.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...g_trump_that_lockdowns_are_deadly_143344.html
7. Another standing ovation:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/opin...-peter-navarro-editorials-debates/5439374002/
8. This might be the dumbest thing a surgeon general has ever said... and they have said some really stupid things in the past... look it up:
9. Your reminder that the New England Journal of Medicine says your mask is like your blankie:
10. Want to hear the truth about Florida?
11. When you use google translate, the study result is "Children act more as a brake on infection."https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik...eher-bremskloetze-der-infektion-16858827.html
12. Say it with me... no coronavirus in the history of mankind, or at least since germ theory was established, has had latent effects. It does NOT happen. It will not happen. Yes, Mark Cuban, I'm talking to you, you twit. A clueless billionaire. And I like Mark Cuban, but he's off the deep end on this subject.
13. Can we start an influenza tracking project? Seriously, it would be eye opening for sooooo many people. Test everyone who wants it regardless of symptoms. 30-50 million positive in a season... easy.
14. I've had this for a while. Wasn't no bat:
This structure tells you something I'll continue to harp on... you do not need to make IgG antibodies to neutralize this thing. From my ID/virologist colleague: "Based on its structural instability, PRRA (FCS) will fall apart and the GOF alterations lacking evolutionary pressure will force it into extinction like SARS1"
Told ya guys and gals... it will revert to the wild type. They always do...
15. Based on its mechanism of action, Ivermectin should work well against this virus.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0166354219307211?via=ihub
Cartoon for those who don't want to read that... I imagine that is 99.9%
16. Preprint suggests it does work:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.07.20145979v1
Another cheap, effective possibility. But we need a vaccine!? Yeah, like the Moderna one today that has 22% side effects, some bad ones with the second dose. No thanks.
17. The WHO finally admits it, you heard it here first: https://nairametrics.com/2020/07/11...tself-based-on-new-discovery-about-the-virus/
It's aerosolized...
Cheers RGers
Finally, we have to deal with it. You cannot stop a contagious aerosolized respiratory virus... it will eventually make its way through the population. Ask Hong Kong.
https://variety.com/2020/film/asia/hong-kong-cinemas-close-coronavirus-return-1234704741/
Just want to apologize to many of you. I have not been able to respond to a lot of messages in a timely manner this week. It's just busy and when Neal tweeted out the link and I took the governor to task over herd immunity on twitter, I have been inundated with requests for anything and everything including radio. It's been madness for 48 hours. Aight, let's go...
Testing Data
~760k tests yesterday.
~41.8 million total tests performed to date.
~62.8k positives with percentage positive at ~8.2%.
7 states were 63% of new cases today: Texas, California, Arizona, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina and Louisiana. Those 7 states had a 12.6% positive testing percentage. The other 44 states were 5.2% positive.
Hospitalization Data
Hosp: 41700--> 43004---> 43895--> 51544--> 51798--> 52578--> 53916--> 55509 (13%)
ICU... 5826----> 5867-----> 5839----> 5889---> 5928---> 5919----> 6061--> 6233 (6.9%)
Vent.. 2098----> 2172-----> 2127----> 2197---> 2169---> 2182----> 2259--> 2263 (7.8%)
California and Arizona are at 49.0% of current ICU usage among the 26 states that report it.
60.2% of current national hospitalizations are still in 5 states, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia and Texas. Remember the change in percentage of hospitalization does not have Florida included until we get 8 days of data for the state.
Fatality Data
Total deaths at 128,740 per CTP. 52% of all deaths are in nursing homes (NH). Weekly deaths as below by week (row), and day (column) starting with Sunday with a weekly total at the end and percent fall compared with prior week. 736 deaths today.
358--> 375--> 713--> 782--> 795--> 648--> 630 = 4301 (-16%)
297--> 285--> 703--> 722--> 646--> 636--> 506 = 3778 (-12%)
273--> 332--> 575--> 697--> 634--> 635--> 306 = 3511 (-8%)
209--> 242--> 922--> 760--> 867*-> 777*-> 854 = 4631 (+25%)
476--> 327--> 736
Lower vs last week but higher than the week prior. The deaths today were pretty homogenous and from the areas you would expect without a bunch of data dumps from the usual suspects... looking at you NJ.
State Data
Texas. Deaths 87. 40.6% of deaths in NH's.
Hos: 9286--> 9610--> 9689---> 10002--> 10083--> 10410--> 10405--> 10569 (+14%)
ICU: 2658--> 2730--> 2878----> 2923----> 2913----> 2995---> 3053---> 3144 (+18%)
Still slowing... it's almost there:
Houston area:
Definitely in a plateau, now essentially flat for a week. Admits, ICU admits, ER visits all down and generating a significant trend now. It's busy but they will be fine.
Dallas area: 11 days straight of over 1000 cases but staying in that range. Everything remains plateaued here.
San Antonio... ER down 3 straight. ICU admits back up just a tad but census is flat.
Austin area... Census up a little today.
Hosp: 469--> 485--> 550--> 534--> 440--> 438--> 434--> 459--> 469.
I got nothing.
Hidalgo... Trends are all up if slightly less so. General beds aren't an issue but ICU beds are filling up. 7% remaining without surge. 31 more deaths here today. This is the problem area. That's 160 deaths in 20 days.
Florida. 133 deaths. 49.4% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 6974--> 7186--> 7542--> 8051--> 8354
I think every southern state is going to do this:
Remember that Hope-Simpson's book on influenza I posted a month or two ago? Ok, no... well, this is showing the difference between influenza in different climates. Normally, FL, MS, etc. would follow the pattern seen marked by the arrow. But we are likely doing what would normally be in a more tropical climate (red circle) because of the time of year this hit us... at a time of an incoming tropical climate... spring/summer. I think this, combined with AC indoor aerosolized transmission, explains the patterns better than anything. I'll admit, I'm surprised but now that I've reflected on this a little more, it makes a lot of sense.
Deaths by DOD:
Georgia. 28 deaths, 4 were not from GA again. 45.1% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 1962--> 2096--> 2215--> 2322--> 2443--> 2512--> 2600--> 2741 (+40%)
19% of ICU beds available.
Arizona. 92 deaths today. 49.8% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 3356--> 3421--> 3437--> 3432--> 3485--> 3432--> 3373--> 3517 (+4.7%)
ICU.... 839---> 869----> 861---> 876---> 899----> 922----> 936---> 970 (+15%)
Vent... 544---> 570----> 575---> 615---> 620----> 631----> 671---> 674 (+24%)
Discharges still high. Hospitalizations ran up a bit today after a fall for two days. Vent usage slowed, finally. ER visits down 6 straight days but still too high.
MS. 1 death. 48.2% of deaths in NH's.
393 cases. 106 LTC outbreaks. Weekend numbers most assuredly. Up again tomorrow.
Hosp: 648--> 645--> 686--> 711--> 703--> 704--> 758--> 804 (+24%)
ICU... 173--> 190--> 186--> 205--> 202--> 197--> 208--> 227 (+31%)
Vent... 95---> 101--> 104--> 103--> 107--> 108--> 110--> 126 (+32%)
4 of the top 6 counties by cases are in central MS over the last week with the updated numbers. No wonder UMMC is having news conferences. Harrison was high, Jackson moderate and DeSoto was pretty high as well. We are definitely busy now. Population is about the same as April outbreak in age and co-morbid conditions. No real changes there. Outpatients still skew younger. Big increase in vent/ICU usage day to day. I expect us to reach 1k hospitalizations by next week. That would be about 1/3 of beds in the state I believe. Houston got to ~40. We may get there. We are busy but we can handle it.
Alabama. 40 deaths. Yikes, but they had low numbers for 3 days prior to that... likely some backlog.
Hosp: 1073--> 1110--> 1125--> 1183--> 1201--> 1068--> 1335--> 1353 (+26%).
Louisiana. 7 deaths. 43.5% of total deaths are in NH's.
Hosp: 964--> 1025--> 1022--> 1117--> 1182--> 1243--> 1308--> 1362 (+41%)
Vents..109---> 109---> 105----> 122---> 121----> 134---> 142----> 146 (+34%)
California. 47 deaths. 47.3% of all deaths in NH's.
Hosp 7278--> 7499--> 7705--> 7896--> 7904--> 7854--> 7895--> 8145 (+12%)
ICU.. 1937--> 1984--> 1976--> 2005--> 2021--> 2020--> 2021--> 2083 (+7.5%)
Flat w/w after slowing for a while. Watching that to see if it heads back up.
Arkansas. 8 deaths.
Hosp: 369--> 358--> 394--> 402--> 402--> 412--> 439--> 445 (+20%)
Vent.... 81---> 89----> 82---> 84---> 84----> 84---> 89---> 91 (+12)
Tennessee. 18 Deaths. 1500 cases today.
Hosp: 782--> 800--> 842--> 822--> 808--> 802--> 804--> 863 (+10)
It's still Shelby, Davidson and everywhere else. I showed you the bed numbers here that are available yesterday. Plenty of capacity.
South Carolina. 21 deaths. 44.2% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 1324--> 1404--> 1433--> 1438--> 1396--> 1472--> 1488--> 1550 (+17%)
21-30% of bed capacity still available. Epidemic curve still shaping into a peak around 6/17-6/24 after update today. That bodes well but a lot of cases today.
North Carolina. 42 deaths. 54.2% of deaths in NH's.
Hosp: 989--> 994--> 1034--> 1046--> 1093--> 1070--> 1040--> 1109 (+12%)
New Jersey. 22 deaths. Don't worry, they'll drop a 50 spot tomorrow. 50% of deaths in NH's.
Illinois. 25 Deaths. 54.6% of deaths are in NH's in this weeks update.
Hosp: 1395--> 1385--> 1385--> 1507--> 1436--> 1342--> 1362--> 1416 (+1.5%)
Comments:
1. Hydroxychloroquine. I had this huge write up for you guys on HCQ today with all the trials I analyzed and accumulated over the weekend. I created a list with comments and then I found this site and it was way better and more organized. https://c19study.com/
The key findings on the negative trials are several. First, one of them was completely withdrawn from the Lancet for faked data. Another, the VA study, the patients in the HCQ group were far more ill and the endpoint was bizarre and the matched analysis was hot garbage. When properly statistically analyzed and propensity matched, there was actually an advantage to HCQ despite the patients being more ill to begin with vs the control. There are also questions on the validity of the data as some VA's have reported not giving data despite being listed as a participant. The negative Solidarity trial out of Brazil dosed HCQ at 12 grams! 2.4-3.2 grams over 5 days is the typical protocol. Those physicians are likely going to jail in Brazil. The UK recovery trial, which still hasn't published its data, also toxically overdosed the patients with 2.4 grams on the first day. This was because they used the wrong drug, hydroxyquinolone, to make the dosing recommendations. Also, none of them gave Zinc to any significant degree and the common theme was late administration, poor protocols and timing of administration. I'm not convinced giving HCQ late in the disease is useful.
2. I still persist that the best trial is the Henry-Ford data for hospitalized patients. However, @pantherplayer4 pointed out, rightfully so, that a lot of them received dexamethasone. But after a full read over the weekend, this was corrected for in the propensity exact matched analysis and both groups received 44.2% steroid treatment. Given that, I think that particular criticism is now unwarranted. I find it superior because the protocol was standardized and over 80% received it within 24 hours and 91% within 48 hours and they excluded patients who died within 24 hours (should have been 48 but I digress). This was a massive study with over 2500 patients. No signs of toxicity seen with HCQ. HCQ reduced mortality by 50%.
3. I don't think you can question outpatient use of HCQ or it's prophylaxis use any longer. The countries that use it have far better outcomes than those that don't. The mechanism of action makes perfect sense. The viral load clearance data is impressive and follows what we know from preclinical data. It accumulates in the mucosa/lungs. The best example is Switzerland.
http://www.francesoir.fr/societe-sante/covid-19-hydroxychloroquine-works-irrefutable-proof
It's one thing to show a list of countries that take it vs those who don't. It's all together different to show this graph. You want correlation? Doesn't equal causation but two events back to back like this perfectly timed to the change? That's hard to explain otherwise.
4. Every physician on this board and anyone else for that matter should demand MS start treating moderate and high risk patients with HCQ/AZI/Zn combo on an outpatient basis. The data is too powerful. 53 positive trials and the earlier it is started, the better the outcome. It's not harmful and cheap as dirt. Call your congressman, senator, governor's office, MSMA office, who the f ever... everyone. There are 200 million doses in federal stockpile. Not a typo.
5. Bahahaha... all the pediatricians said yes, absolutely, without a doubt... to sending their kids back to school!
6. Standing ovation for this lady.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...g_trump_that_lockdowns_are_deadly_143344.html
7. Another standing ovation:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/opin...-peter-navarro-editorials-debates/5439374002/
8. This might be the dumbest thing a surgeon general has ever said... and they have said some really stupid things in the past... look it up:
9. Your reminder that the New England Journal of Medicine says your mask is like your blankie:
10. Want to hear the truth about Florida?
11. When you use google translate, the study result is "Children act more as a brake on infection."https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik...eher-bremskloetze-der-infektion-16858827.html
12. Say it with me... no coronavirus in the history of mankind, or at least since germ theory was established, has had latent effects. It does NOT happen. It will not happen. Yes, Mark Cuban, I'm talking to you, you twit. A clueless billionaire. And I like Mark Cuban, but he's off the deep end on this subject.
13. Can we start an influenza tracking project? Seriously, it would be eye opening for sooooo many people. Test everyone who wants it regardless of symptoms. 30-50 million positive in a season... easy.
14. I've had this for a while. Wasn't no bat:
This structure tells you something I'll continue to harp on... you do not need to make IgG antibodies to neutralize this thing. From my ID/virologist colleague: "Based on its structural instability, PRRA (FCS) will fall apart and the GOF alterations lacking evolutionary pressure will force it into extinction like SARS1"
Told ya guys and gals... it will revert to the wild type. They always do...
15. Based on its mechanism of action, Ivermectin should work well against this virus.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0166354219307211?via=ihub
Cartoon for those who don't want to read that... I imagine that is 99.9%
16. Preprint suggests it does work:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.07.20145979v1
Another cheap, effective possibility. But we need a vaccine!? Yeah, like the Moderna one today that has 22% side effects, some bad ones with the second dose. No thanks.
17. The WHO finally admits it, you heard it here first: https://nairametrics.com/2020/07/11...tself-based-on-new-discovery-about-the-virus/
It's aerosolized...
Cheers RGers
