I was looking at runs and runs allowed, and Ole Miss has the lowest differential in the SEC at less than a run per game. That's not surprising considering the record, but the splits show that the Rebels aren't doing one area well enough to compensate for the other area. Ole Miss isn't scoring runs in bunches and is struggling to get off the field and avoid big innings. Of course the 16-4 loss affects run differential, but the Rebels have a 16-2 win as well so those offset each other. Below I have listed each team's scoring and scoring allowed ranked by differential.
Then below that I break both categories down and show where some teams are compensating and some aren't.
Ranked by differential
TAMU 7.9 to 2.4 = 5.6
Florida 7.4 to 2.6 = 4.8
Mississippi State 7.5 to 2.9 = 4.6
LSU 7.0 to 2.9 = 4.1
Georgia 6.8 to 3.4 = 3.4
Arkansas 7.3 to 4.0 = 3.3
Vanderbilt 7.3 to 4.1 = 3.2
Auburn 6.4 to 3.6 = 2.8
South Carolina 5.9 to 3.1 = 2.8
Alabama 6.1 to 4.1 = 2.0
Missouri 4.0 to 2.2 = 1.8
Tennessee 4.4 to 2.7 = 1.7
Kentucky 6.1 to 4.5 = 1.6
Ole Miss 5.1 to 4.4 = 0.8
Scoring
Texas A&M
MSU
Florida
Vanderbilt and Arkansas
LSU
Georgia
Auburn
Alabama and Kentucky
South Carolina
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Mizzou
Opponent scoring
Missouri
Texas A&M
Florida
Tennessee
LSU and MSU
South Carolina
Georgia
Auburn
Arkansas
Alabama and Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
Kentucky
Now if we give points for position in each group you'll see why I think it's a significant concern. The way I'm doing it is if a team is first in a group I'm giving it 14 points, second 13 points and so on. Then adding the two groups together.
Texas A&M 27 points
Florida 24 points
MSU 23 points
LSU 19 points
Arkansas 16 points
Vanderbilt 15 points
Georgia 15 points
Mizzou 15 points
Auburn 13 points
Tennessee 13 points
South Carolina 12 points
Alabama 10 points
Kentucky 7 points
Ole Miss 5 points
The only schedule outlier I'm seeing is Missouri. Everybody else has played at least a series worth of games against quality teams. MSU could be an outlier, but the Bulldogs beat Arizona twice, and the Wildcats are 15-4. Also, San Diego is better than I thought. Mizzou has terrible nonconference schedule, so that top pitching and defense point total might be the one to take with a grain of salt. But even so you can see that a lot of teams are either middle of the road in both or they compensate in one of the categories.
Just some numbers to chew on. We all know Ole Miss has to get better, but this puts some statistics behind it other than simply win-loss record.
Then below that I break both categories down and show where some teams are compensating and some aren't.
Ranked by differential
TAMU 7.9 to 2.4 = 5.6
Florida 7.4 to 2.6 = 4.8
Mississippi State 7.5 to 2.9 = 4.6
LSU 7.0 to 2.9 = 4.1
Georgia 6.8 to 3.4 = 3.4
Arkansas 7.3 to 4.0 = 3.3
Vanderbilt 7.3 to 4.1 = 3.2
Auburn 6.4 to 3.6 = 2.8
South Carolina 5.9 to 3.1 = 2.8
Alabama 6.1 to 4.1 = 2.0
Missouri 4.0 to 2.2 = 1.8
Tennessee 4.4 to 2.7 = 1.7
Kentucky 6.1 to 4.5 = 1.6
Ole Miss 5.1 to 4.4 = 0.8
Scoring
Texas A&M
MSU
Florida
Vanderbilt and Arkansas
LSU
Georgia
Auburn
Alabama and Kentucky
South Carolina
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Mizzou
Opponent scoring
Missouri
Texas A&M
Florida
Tennessee
LSU and MSU
South Carolina
Georgia
Auburn
Arkansas
Alabama and Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
Kentucky
Now if we give points for position in each group you'll see why I think it's a significant concern. The way I'm doing it is if a team is first in a group I'm giving it 14 points, second 13 points and so on. Then adding the two groups together.
Texas A&M 27 points
Florida 24 points
MSU 23 points
LSU 19 points
Arkansas 16 points
Vanderbilt 15 points
Georgia 15 points
Mizzou 15 points
Auburn 13 points
Tennessee 13 points
South Carolina 12 points
Alabama 10 points
Kentucky 7 points
Ole Miss 5 points
The only schedule outlier I'm seeing is Missouri. Everybody else has played at least a series worth of games against quality teams. MSU could be an outlier, but the Bulldogs beat Arizona twice, and the Wildcats are 15-4. Also, San Diego is better than I thought. Mizzou has terrible nonconference schedule, so that top pitching and defense point total might be the one to take with a grain of salt. But even so you can see that a lot of teams are either middle of the road in both or they compensate in one of the categories.
Just some numbers to chew on. We all know Ole Miss has to get better, but this puts some statistics behind it other than simply win-loss record.
