and Bama a 23% chance, If I remembered the numbers right. Auburn was picked to win it last year and I think Ole Miss was picked to finish 4th or lower. LSU has the highest number of returning starters so that makes sense but I've seen no other media prediction of LSU over Bama. I haven't seen Phil steele's prediction yet. He normally goes by # of returning starters though. He has publicly stated Bama, LSU, Ole Miss and Tennessee are the four best teams in the SEC.