Dang, we're going to get creamed in Atlanta Saturday... It could be worse than the carnage General Sherman unleashed on Atlanta 160+ years ago..
From this SportsLine web article:
......(SportsLine) has studied the latest college football odds, simulated every single play for every bowl game 10,000 times, and the results are in.
One of the college picks the model is high on during bowl season: No. 10 Penn State (-4.5) builds on a 10-win season with a win over No. 11 Ole Miss in the Peach Bowl. The Nittany Lions cover nearly 60% of the time. Another prediction: No. 8 Oregon (-17) cruises to a blowout win over No. 23 Liberty in the Fiesta Bowl. The Ducks were knocked out of the College Football Playoff due to a 3-point loss to Washington in the Pac-12 title game, but they were still among the most dominant teams in the country this season. They scored at least 30 points in every game, which is why Oregon is covering in nearly 60% of simulations."
More details regarding OM-PSU:
...."One of the college football picks the model is high on during bowl season: No. 10 Penn State (-4) builds on a 10-win season with a convincing win over No. 11 Ole Miss in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 30 at noon ET. This is a matchup of 10-2 teams but their against-the-spread records are far different. Penn State is 9-3 ATS, which is one of the five best ATS records in all of college football. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is just 6-4-2 versus the spread, and it's failed to cover in each of its last four games.
The Nittany Lions also took care of business as a favorite, going 9-1 in these games, and that 90% cover percentage is the best in FBS (min. five games). The balance that James Franklin's squad brings is a big reason for its success, as PSU ranks in the top 12 in both scoring offense and scoring defense. Any team that Lane Kiffin coaches has no problems putting points on the board, but the Rebels are 41st in scoring defense and gave up 300 rushing yards to Georgia last month. Penn State being able to eat up yardage on the ground will keep Ole Miss' offense off the field, as the Nittany Lions (-4) cover nearly 60% of the time.
From this SportsLine web article:
......(SportsLine) has studied the latest college football odds, simulated every single play for every bowl game 10,000 times, and the results are in.
One of the college picks the model is high on during bowl season: No. 10 Penn State (-4.5) builds on a 10-win season with a win over No. 11 Ole Miss in the Peach Bowl. The Nittany Lions cover nearly 60% of the time. Another prediction: No. 8 Oregon (-17) cruises to a blowout win over No. 23 Liberty in the Fiesta Bowl. The Ducks were knocked out of the College Football Playoff due to a 3-point loss to Washington in the Pac-12 title game, but they were still among the most dominant teams in the country this season. They scored at least 30 points in every game, which is why Oregon is covering in nearly 60% of simulations."
More details regarding OM-PSU:
...."One of the college football picks the model is high on during bowl season: No. 10 Penn State (-4) builds on a 10-win season with a convincing win over No. 11 Ole Miss in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 30 at noon ET. This is a matchup of 10-2 teams but their against-the-spread records are far different. Penn State is 9-3 ATS, which is one of the five best ATS records in all of college football. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is just 6-4-2 versus the spread, and it's failed to cover in each of its last four games.
The Nittany Lions also took care of business as a favorite, going 9-1 in these games, and that 90% cover percentage is the best in FBS (min. five games). The balance that James Franklin's squad brings is a big reason for its success, as PSU ranks in the top 12 in both scoring offense and scoring defense. Any team that Lane Kiffin coaches has no problems putting points on the board, but the Rebels are 41st in scoring defense and gave up 300 rushing yards to Georgia last month. Penn State being able to eat up yardage on the ground will keep Ole Miss' offense off the field, as the Nittany Lions (-4) cover nearly 60% of the time.
