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I hope….

When some of you get up this morning, I hope you are embarrassed at the way you acted on Rebelgrove yesterday! Was I pissed yesterday, absolutely! Did I want to post things to make myself feel better? Hell yes! But I didn’t. I think I posted on one thread after the game.

Yesterday was tough. I’ve been a fan for all of my 54 years. I graduated in 92. I have been blessed in my life and am fortunate to give to not only the UMAA but The Grove Collective, as well. Yesterday hurt. We’ve never been that close in my lifetime. I think the GC and all of the hoopla this year had me buy in more than ever.

All that said, thank you @Neal McCready and @Chase Parham for all the content you bring us everyday! There was no reason for people to go after you yesterday. It was ridiculous! You have become part of my life! I listen to almost everything you produce! It’s crazy how a lot of my conversations with family members or friends starts with, “Did you listen to the….podcast? Did you hear what they said about…?” I’m not sure both of you realize how much you help us get through this thing called life! It’s tough on me when y’all take days off of the podcast!(I don’t blame you by the way!)

Anyway, I just wanted to say Thanks! Look forward to the next podcast!

What does it take to be great?

  • Generational coach ✔️
  • Financial support system in place ✔️
  • Great AD ✔️
  • Engaged fan base✔️
  • 3 to 4 years of top 5 High School recruiting (only thing missing)
Ole Miss is on the edge of a once in a generation football run. Alabama, Ohio State Georgia and a few others possess all 5 ingredients to be great and they still struggle and don’t win it every year. It’s time to get mad and do your part in the process, not bitch and moan. LFG!!

Conference Comparisons

Baby woke me up early this morning, so I ran some numbers on this year's interconference games between the Power Four conferences.

There were 32 Power Four interconference games. The ACC played the most, with 20. Then the SEC with 19, the Big Ten with 13, and the Big 12 with 12.

Looking at things from a straight wins and losses standpoint, the records are as follows:
ACC: 9-11 (0.450) overall; 3-1 (0.750) vs Big 12; 3-2 (0.600) vs Big Ten; 3-8 (0.273) vs SEC
Big 12: 4-8 (0.333) overall; 1-3 (0.250) vs ACC; 1-3 (0.250) vs Big Ten; 2-2 (0.500) vs SEC
Big Ten: 6-7 (0.462) overall; 2-3 (0.400) vs ACC; 3-1 (0.750) vs Big 12; 1-3 (0.250) vs SEC
SEC: 13-6 (0.684) overall; 8-3 (0.727) vs ACC; 2-2 (0.500) vs Big 12; 3-1 (0.750) vs Big Ten

Based on this, we can rank the conferences:
RankConferenceWin %
1SEC0.684
2Big Ten0.462
3ACC0.450
4Big 120.333

But this is pretty surface-level. After all, it matters what the matchups are. You can't have, say, the top five Big 12 teams go undefeated against the bottom five SEC teams and say "the biG 12 is betTER THan tHE SEc."

I made a table of every single game and set the advantage in the game to whichever team had the better conference win percentage. If the conferences are equal, a .750 team from the SEC should be evenly matched with a .750 team from the Big 12. This is obviously not the case. Only one game (Auburn vs Cal) was a push. I tallied up the records of each conference in games in which its team had the advantage and in games in which its team had the disadvantage.

Overall, the team with the advantage went 20-11 (0.645). Using this, I did an extremely crude adjustment for each conference. I scaled their win percentage in games based on what their win percentage would be expected to be. For example, if a team went 0.355 in games in which they had the disadvantage, that's exactly what you'd expect to see, so it would scale up to 0.500. If a team went 0.355 in games in which they had the advantage, however, that's a major underachievement and would scale down to 0.275. I then took a weighted average of the scaled win percentages to obtain a new win percentage for each conference. The numbers in the table are the record of the conference in the first column against the conference in the top row. The main diagonal (e.g., Big 12 vs Big 12) is the conference's adjusted overall win percentage.

ACCBig 12Big TenSEC
ACC0.4230.7400.5920.232
Big 120.1940.3110.1940.546
Big Ten0.5640.7400.5530.352
SEC0.7370.5460.5810.664

Note that these numbers don't add up to 1.000 the way they would with actual win percentages. Like I said: extremely crude adjustment. Anway, you can see that the SEC is the best conference no matter how you draw it up. It absolutely ate the ACC's lunch in head-to-heads. The Big Ten and ACC ate the Big 12's lunch head-to-head as well.

Keep this in your pocket the next time someone tries to tell you that it's just bias when you say the SEC is the best conference.
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