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ESPN Playoff predictor

I’ve been following this one, not because I think it’s most accurate, but mainly to watch how our probabilities shift, and because you can plug in scenarios to run probabilities.

Before Tuesday’s ranking, it had us at a 62% chance to make it and 86% chance if we win out.

After the rankings, that bumped to 67% and 89%.

I still think they’re a little too low on us and probably a bit high on a few others, but we do continue to trend up.

Interestingly, they have UT at essentially the same probability as us despite the fact that the committee ranking might suggest otherwise.

A few other interesting notes:

Texas - If you assume Texas beats Kentucky but loses to A&M, they give them only a 62% chance to make the playoff, which is significantly less than our 89% for finishing an identical 10-2.

Penn State - If PSU loses this week to Minnesota and finishes 10-2, they drop them to only a 54% chance to make the field.

Notre Dame - As you might expect, they drop to a 42% chance to make it with a loss to USC and a 30% chance if they take a single loss to Army.

Ohio State - If OSU were to lose to Michigan or Indiana, they have them either at an 83% or 87% chance to make it at 10-2. I just found that interesting since it’s also less than our 89%.

Miami - They show Miami with a 42% chance to make it if they win out but lose to SMU in the conference title game. That’s the highest odds of a team not in the Power 2 to potentially get an at large, aside from Notre Dame of course.

Seems like an extremely easy fix on this playoff thing…

1. Move to 14 teams just like the NFL.

2. Only the Big 10 and SEC Champions get a bye.

3. ACC and Big 12 Champion gets an auto host but not the auto 3/4 seed.

4. SEC and Big 10 split the other 4 host spots, 2 and 2.

5. 5 guaranteed spots for Big 10 and SEC, 1 guaranteed spot for ACC and Big 12, 2 at large for P5 or G5 (if we must).

6. 5 guaranteed spots from SEC and Big 10 are based solely on SEC standings (conference W/L records). 6th team from each conference could be at large.

7. Make a G5 8 team playoff. Top G5 team can play up into P4 playoffs as an at large (again if we must) or can opt out and play in the G5 tournament where they would actually have a chance to win a National Championship.

I would love for somebody to poke holes in all this but this seems to appease all parties involved.

Is there a single reason the SEC should go to 9 games?

Spare me the “TV people aren’t gonna go for that” crap. Yes, sure, if the TV people throw a giant pile of cash at you, that changes things. But as it stands right now, you are putting your members at a serious competitive disadvantage by adding another conference game. The Big 10 sucks ass after about 5 teams, so their “elite teams” will always dominate like we are seeing this year.

Let’s say you add a game this year for Alabama where they go to Oxford and lose. They are now out of the playoffs. Just makes zero logical sense.

Now if you tell me the playoffs expand to 16 and the SEC gets a GUARANTEED 5 spots, ok sure. Done deal.

63 in 2 months - Cardioversion Procedure this coming Monday - Hit goal of 250 lb. Decline Bench Press

…2 nights ago.

Been a struggle to get here…as I’ve been on Eliquis for 4 weeks - had serious fatigue for over 2 weeks. Cardiologist diagnosed me with AFib. Hope this works. Appears to stop it a large majority of the time.

Hoping I don’t have to stop with the weightlifting very long. Takes so much longer to get strength back these days!!

Also happy to see the Eliquis lowers the risk of stroke by about 10-fold. Fingers-crossed.

Added: Doing this lift weighing in at 202 lbs. have put on 7 lbs. over the last 31 months…with a smaller waist.

Man, Oxford HS really got screwed in the new 7A alignment...

They were in 7/1 with the Desoto County Schools. Easy region schedule with minimal travel. MHSAA move Tupelo to 7/1 and moved Oxford to 7/2. That means now Oxford is in with the Madison /Jackson schools and Starkville. So where their most distant drive was about an hour, now their CLOSEST drive is an hour and a half to Starkville. Not to mention the district is a bear with Starkville, MC, Clinton, and Germantown for football and basketball

The division is much more manageable for baseball, and I think soccer appears to be similar, but that's ALOT of travel for baseball series to be played. Just overall a brutal move for OHS both from a comp and travel standpoint.

Jaguar rebrand (bud light, for the auto industry)

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Absolutely baffling decision. Instead, go get Sydney Sweeney or some model, have her drive it, and say something about the car. Jaguar could have marketed towards classic cars they had in the 70s/80s. Retro stuff is very in right now, more than it ever has before, they kinda had a once in a lifetime chance with it. And instead they tanked the company.

HOOPS: Ole Miss to face Oral Roberts Thursday

OXFORD, Miss. – The Ole Miss men's basketball team aims to keep their undefeated start to the 2024-25 season rolling, as they host Oral Roberts on Thursday, November 21 at 7 p.m. in the SJB Pavilion and on SEC Network+.

TEAM FACTS
Ole Miss Rebels (Record: 4-0, 0-0 SEC)
Head Coach: Chris Beard • 2nd Season at Ole Miss (24-12) • 261-110 career record (13th Season)

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (Record: 2-3, 0-0 Summit League)
Head Coach: Russell Springmann • 2nd Season at Oral Roberts (14-22) • 14-22 career record (2nd Season)

ON THE AIR
Television/Online: SEC Network+
Play-by-Play: Jake Hromada
Color: Kermit Davis

OLE MISS RADIO
Radio: Ole Miss Radio Network
Play-by-Play: David Kellum
Color: Marc Dukes

SERIES HISTORY VS. ORAL ROBERTS
Ole Miss has taken on the Golden Eagles five times before, coming out on top of each matchup which first began in 1992. The two programs faced off in four-straight seasons before their most recent game in the opening round of the 2016 Paradise Jam Tournament in St. Thomas U.S. Virgin Islands. This will be the fourth contest in Oxford and first played in the SJB Pavilion.

LAST MEETING: November 18, 2016 (W, 95-88 (OT), St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands)
• Oral Roberts inched back in a close game to force overtime, but Ole Miss came out on top behind a career-high performance from Deandre Burnett.
• Deandre Burnett (Ole Miss): 41 points, nine 3PM, four rebounds, four assists.
• Albert Owens (Oral Roberts): 22 points, three rebounds, three assists, two steals.

SCOUTING THE GOLDEN EAGLES
Oral Roberts bring a 2-3 record to Oxford, having defeated Ozark Christian and Haskell while dropping contests to Minnesota, Tulsa, and most recently this past Tuesday, Belmont. The team finished with a 12-19 record to close out 2023-24.

Three players average double digits in the scoring column through the first five games for Oral Roberts, led by Sam Alajiki at 15.4 per outing. Issac McBride averages 15.0 points per game while Darius Robinson Jr. is netting 10.2. Alajiki leads the Golden Eagles on the boards averaging 7.8 rebounds per game, posting a double-double against Tulsa with 13 points and 10 rebounds.

As a team, Oral Roberts ranks among the top-100 nationally in multiple three-point stat categories, averaging 9.6 makes from beyond the arc per game (No. 79 in NCAA) while shooting 36.9 percent (No. 97 in NCAA).

The Golden Eagles are led by second-year head coach Russell Springmann, who guided Oral Roberts to 12 wins in year one. He was elevated to head coach in March of 2023 after spending five years on staff as an assistant after a season as a scout with the Oklahoma City Thunder. He was previously an assistant for two years at the University of San Diego, and spent 17 seasons at the University of Texas on staff.

"WE'RE GOING STREAKING!"
Highlighted by their 13-0 run a year ago, the Ole Miss program is currently on a 17-game non-conference winning streak, the longest in all of college basketball. Among their run outside the SEC are strong victories over eventual NCAA Final Four team NC State by 20 points, a battle with Memphis in a crowded SJB Pavilion, and wins over "Power Five" programs like UCF, California, and Colorado State.

LET'S PLAY DEFENSE
A staple of success for head coach Chris Beard has always been his team's defensive play, and it's been evident on this year's Ole Miss roster to start the season. With a turnover margin of +8.5 through four games, the Rebels own the ninth-best margin in all of college basketball, forcing 16.8 per game (No. 43 in the NCAA) while committing 8.3 (No. 7 in the NCAA).

Ole Miss ranks among the top-50 in the nation in both steals per game (10.0, No. 40 in NCAA) and blocks per game (5.3, No. 49 in NCAA), giving them the 37th-ranked scoring defense in the country at 61.3 points.

I GOT ALL NUMBERS
The 2024-25 Ole Miss basketball roster boasts some serious career statistics. Six players have scored over 1,000 points in their collegiate career, including Matthew Murrell (1,473), Sean Pedulla (1,283), Dre Davis (1,183), Jaemyn Brakefield (1,146), Jaylen Murray (1,051), and Mikeal Brown-Jones (1,035).Davon Barnes (949) is on the cusp of hitting that mark as well. Entering the season, the team possessed 8,735 career points, 3,062 rebounds, 1,346 assists, 596 steals, and 327 blocks.

SEASONED VETERANS
Featuring 10 seniors on the roster, Ole Miss returns the fourth-highest minutes-per-game figure among all "power-five" programs in the nation at 284.3, and the most in the SEC. In total, Ole Miss players have played in nearly 900 career collegiate games with over 500 starts. The Rebels are one of 18 programs in the nation that feature five or more players in at least their fifth year of college basketball.
Settled In
Success in year two under Chris Beard has been evident throughout his coaching career. At Angelo State, he jumped from 19 wins in year one (2013-14) to 28 in year two (2014-15) and reached the round of 16 at the NCAA Division II Tournament. He then increased his win total by nine in year two at Texas Tech (18 wins in 2016-17, 27 wins in 2017-18), leading the Red Raiders to the 2018 Elite Eight. Following his first campaign at Texas, Beard began the next season with convincing victories over No. 2 Gonzaga and No. 7 Creighton, earning a national ranking as high as No. 2 in the nation.

MR. NOVEMBER
Second-year head coach Chris Beard remains undefeated in the month of November with the Ole Miss program, owning a record of 10-0. He is currently on a 19-game win streak when playing in the eleventh month of the year, and owns a career record as a Division I head coach of 45-6 (88.2%) in November.

"AIN'T NO PARTY LIKE A WEST COAST PARTY"
The Rebels will travel to San Diego, California during Thanksgiving week to play in the Rady Children's Invitational among one of the premiere fields of early-season tournaments. Ole Miss will be joined on the West Coast by three other programs:
BYU - 23 wins in 2023-24 and an NCAA Tournament team
NC State - 26 wins in 2023-24 and a Final Four team
Purdue - 34 wins in 2023-24 and the national runner-up

Ole Miss will face BYU in their first-round game on Thursday, November 28 at 4:30 p.m. CT, and take on either NC State or Purdue in the championship game or third-place matchup the following day. Their game against the Cougars will be televised on FS1, while Friday's game will be on FOX.

A BIG TEN TEST
The Ole Miss squad got a great measurement of where they stand among the nation's best early, hosting Illinois for their charity exhibition on October 27. Currently ranked as high as No. 20 in the Coaches Poll, the Illini gave the Rebels a quick test before their regular season opener. Ole Miss rose to the challenge behind clutch shooting, scoring 51 points in the first half before eventually winning by 17 in a 91-74 contest.Malik Dia paced the Rebels with 18 points on 7-8 shooting, going 3-3 from three-point range while grabbing three steals on defense. Jaemyn Brakefield added 15 points and led the team with eight rebounds coming off the bench.

PROGRAM POINT PRESIDENTS
Seniors Matthew Murrell and Jaemyn Brakefield have each surpassed the 1,000-point mark during their careers here in Oxford, and have their sights set on the program leaderboard. Here's a snapshot of where they lie among the career points list at Ole Miss:
...
14. Aaron Harper - 1,505
15. Murphy Holloway - 1,476
16. Matthew Murrell - 1,473
17. Ansu Sesay - 1,428
...
37. Terrance Henry - 1,095
38. Coolidge Ball - 1,072
39. Jaemyn Brakefield - 1,068
40. Jason Harrison - 1,066

HOOP IN THE 'SIP
On November's signing day, Chris Beard and staff added two top recruits to Athletic Financial Aid Agreements in Tylis Jordan and Patton Pinkins. The pair currently give Ole Miss a consensus top-25 recruiting class for 2025, ranked No. 12 in the nation by Rivals, No. 16 by On3, and No. 25 by 247Sports.

Tylis Jordan, PF, 6-9, 210, Wheeler, Louisville, Ga.
Jordan is a consensus top-100 recruit for the class of 2025, owning a national ranking as high as No. 27 in the country by On3 and No. 28 by Rivals. Listed as a power forward, the 6'9" Louisville, Ga. native is an incredibly skilled big man who can easily play with the ball in his hands.

He has the ability to stretch the floor with his shooting and is able to knock down threes. One of the top-ranked players in his class in the always-talented state of Georgia, Jordan averaged a double-double last season at Shiloh as a junior with 21.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per game, and is currently playing his senior season at Wheeler.

Patton Pinkins, SG, 6-5, 170, Frenship, Wolfforth, Texas
Another top-100 recruit, Pinkins is ranked as high as No. 74 in his class nationally by ESPN and No. 78 by Rivals. A 6'5" shooting guard from Wolfforth, Texas, he currently plays at Frenship High School, where he's described as an efficient player with a shooting percentage of over 60 percent from the field and over 40 percent from three.

Pinkins, the son of current Ole Miss assistant coach Al Pinkins, possess a high basketball IQ with strong passing ability. His ability as an on-ball defender pairs well with his prowess at scoring the basketball at all three levels.

IT STILL MEANS MORE
The gauntlet of the SEC got even tougher this season with the addition of Oklahoma and Texas to the conference for the 2024-25 academic year. With nine teams earning preseason rankings from the AP, including Ole Miss, the schedule for the Rebels is littered with big games, especially at home in the SJB Pavilion. Between January 22 and February 4, Ole Miss will host No. 23 Texas A&M, No. 3 Auburn, Texas, and No. 9 Kentucky.

RECORD BOOK WRECKER
Senior guard Matthew Murrell enters his fifth season with Ole Miss and continues to put his name up and down the program record book. The Memphis native currently ranks 16th in school history in career points with 1,473, and fifth in both three-point shots made (221), and three-point attempts (624).

Three-Point Field Goals Made
1. 334, Chris Warren (115 games, 2008-11)
2. 278, Aaron Harper (123 games, 2001-04)
3. 267, Marshall Henderson (66 games, 2013-14)
4. 249, Keith Carter (117 games, 1996-99)
5. 221, Matthew Murrell (124 games, 2020-pres.)
6. 214, Joe Harvell (114 games, 1990-93)
7. 207, Breein Tyree (130 games, 2017-20)
8. 181, Stefan Moody (65 games, 2014-16)
9. 178, Devontae Shuler (124 games, 2018-21)
10. 176, Terence Davis (121 games (2016-19)

Three-Point Field Goals Attempted
1. 900, Chris Warren (115 games, 2008-11)
2. 771, Marshall Henderson (66 games, 2013-2014)
3. 720, Aaron Harper (123 games, 2001-04)
4. 686, Keith Carter (117 games, 1996-99)
5. 624, Matthew Murrell (124 games, 2020-pres.)
6. 581, Breein Tyree (130 games, 2017-20)
7. 528, Joe Harvell (114 games, 1990-93)
8. 523, Devontae Shuler (124 games, 2018-21)
9. 519, Terence Davis (121 games, 2016-19)
10. 494, Stefan Moody (65 games, 2015-16)

Murrell has his eyes set on entering the top-10 lists in multiple other categories as well, on the verge in: Career minutes played (Murrell at 3,579, 10th is Breein Tyree at 3,634), career games played (Murrell at 124, 10th is Jason Flanigan at 127), and career steals (Murrell at 130, 10th is Rahim Lockhart at 148).
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Tyler - Mississippi College

Just a quick background- I played college tennis at MC and I am still pretty heavily involved with the program. My wife also used to work in the athletic department and was heavily involved with the football program and budgets. None of that matters, except to say I genuinely have been confused on how to feel about them getting rid of the program.

I listened to M&S and had a few questions about the money and budgeting you talked about.

On your 1.7-2m figure does this include travel, salaries for university staff (fundraising, compliance, sports media, marketing , etc) stadium cost during game days, food for football players on game day/travel days, equipment?

As an example- I know they do not have buses large enough for the team and had to rent out travel buses every away game that were monumentally expensive as they don’t have an athletics bus large enough for football.

Again, not saying you are wrong. Likely, you are right. Just genuinely curious as I might be one of the few on here somewhat “invested” in the school if you will.
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Who is Ole Miss’ MVP?

Kind of playing off the brief Conerly trophy topic from the pod yesterday. ***Besides Dart*** who would you pick as MVP this season? Chase said Ivey. I think I’d go with JJ Pegues. No he’s not the best DL on the team, but he’s really good. & I don’t think you can put a price on how valuable he’s been on offense. I think he’s saved our ass in short yardage situations this year. I can’t remember one time he’s been stopped when we needed him to pick up those tough yards.
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