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ESPN: CFP Anger Index


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3. Ole Miss Rebels (7-2, No. 16)​

There are three two-loss SEC teams ranked ahead of Ole Miss, which seems to be a perfectly reasonable consensus if you look at the AP poll, too. But are we sure that's so reasonable?

Two stats we like to look at to measure a team's quality are success rate (how often does a team make a play that improves its odds of winning) and explosiveness. Measure the differentials in each between offense and defense, then plot those out, and you'll get a pretty clear look of who's truly dominant in college football this season.

Explosive Play differential vs. Successful Play differential

Auburn & Ark make no sense
Iowa & Iowa St are twinsies!
Is Ole Miss undervalued? pic.twitter.com/h87SKCdOtr
— 💫🅰️♈️🆔 (@ADavidHaleJoint) November 3, 2024
That outer band that features Penn State, Texas, Miami, Ohio State and Indiana (and notably, not Oregon, Alabama, LSU or Texas A&M)? That's where Ole Miss lives.

The Rebels have two losses this season, each by three points, both in games they outgained the winning team. They lost to LSU on the road and, yes, somehow lost to a dismal Kentucky team. But hey, LSU lost to USC, too. It has been a weird season.

SP+ loves Ole Miss. The Rebels check in at No. 4 there, behind only Ohio State, Texas and Georgia.

The FPI agrees, ranking the Rebels fifth.

In ESPN's game control metric, no team is better. Ole Miss has the third-best average in-game win percentage. That suggests a lot of strange twists, and bad luck was involved with its losses. These are things the committee should be evaluating when comparing like teams.

But how about this comparison?

Team A: 7-2, 23 points per game scoring margin vs. FBS, 1 loss to unranked, three wins vs. SP+ top 40

Team B: 7-2, 19 points per game scoring margin vs. FBS, 1 loss to unranked, three wins vs. SP+ top 40

Pretty similar, eh?

Of course, one of them is Ole Miss. That's Team A this time around.

Team B is Alabama, ranked five spots higher.

Sure, this situation can be resolved quite easily this weekend with a win over Georgia, but Ole Miss starting at the back of the pack of SEC contenders seems like a miss by the committee, even if the math will change substantially before the next rankings are revealed.

So The First Thing President Trump Needs To Do Jan 20th...

.... 2025 is to pardon all those poor people who were/are in prison for J6 "offenses", as well as the guy who's in prison for posting memes, and anyone else the left went after and jailed for BS.

Second is to clean house of Garland, those woke ass military people, and the leadership in the FBI, IRS, ATF, et al..

Third is to start getting millions of illegals the hell out of here and building that wall.

That'll do for the first couple of hours. Then get the economy moving. 😎

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Neal and Chase, I gotta say…

The OEP election coverage discussion surrounding it and the last 4 years was outstanding and really well done. Really middle of the road and good “regular Joe” analysis of why things went the way they did. Very well done and one of my favorite segments in a long time that yall have done. A lot of what yall both said are the things that led me from voting against Trump in 2020 to happily voting for him and Vance this time around.

Excellent discussion and I appreciate y’all verbalizing and putting out there how a lot of people who aren’t entrenched on one side or the other have felt or started feeling since 2021-22. Most people want to live and let others live and have someone who feels “normal” running the country. People are tired of the crazy stuff both ways — and the current administration and its surrogates have really forced the crazy the last 4 years.

Pete's staff is full of good evaluators

INFO from On3:


Pace (Fla.) EDGE Tylon Lee was honored Wednesday by the Florida Athletic Coaches Association. The 6-foot-6, 261 pound prospect was named 6A Player of the Year and district MVP (fellow Ole Miss commit Ladarian Clardy was runner-up). He was also named to the all-district team after a 10-game regular season of dominance.

Lane Kiffin’s newest commit heads into the playoffs with 65 tackles, 26 quarterback hurries, 17 tackles for loss, five sacks, three pass break-ups, one fumble recovery and one forced fumble. Pace is 9-1 as the quest for a state championship has begun.

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He's 6'5 260

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Escambia (Fla.) safety Ladarian Clardy was named 4A Player of the Year by the Florida Athletic Coaches Association. As a senior, the four-star prospect has made 43 tackles, three tackles for loss, two interceptions, two pass break-ups, one fumble recovery and one forced fumble.

Clardy committed to Ole Miss in September over notable offers from Florida State, LSU, Mississippi State and Washington. He is the No. 207 player in the On300. Clardy is the 18th-ranked safety in the country and Florida’s No. 32 player.

The 5-foot-11, 165 pound recruit has also been a dynamo on offense and special teams. He has scored as a defensive back, wide receiver, running back and return man.

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