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HOOPS: Rebels head to Atlanta for Sweet 16

I'm headed to Atlanta later today, will have full coverage starting tomorrow. For now, here's the UM release:

ATLANTA – The magic continues for the six-seeded Ole Miss men's basketball team as they head east to take on the South Region's two seed Michigan State on Friday, March 28 at 7:09 p.m. ET in State Farm Arena and on CBS.

ON THE AIR
Television/Online: CBS
Play-by-Play: Ian Eagle
Analysts: Bill Raftery & Grant Hill
Reporter: Tracy Wolfson

OLE MISS RADIO
Radio: Ole Miss Radio Network
Play-by-Play: David Kellum
Analyst: Marc Dukes

SERIES HISTORY VS. MICHIGAN STATE
While just the second time these two programs have met on the hardwood, both will have come in the NCAA Tournament. In the 1999 postseason, Ole Miss won their first-ever NCAA Tournament game with a 72-70 victory over Villanova in the first round. As a nine seed, the Rebels matched up with the region's number one seed Michigan State who would win 74-66. The Spartans would go on to reach the Final Four that season.

LAST MEETING: March 14, 1999 (L, 66-74, Milwaukee, Wis.)
• Ole Miss led by three at the half, holding Michigan State to just 29 points over the first 20 minutes of action. The Spartans would respond with 45 in the second period to eventually win by eight.
• Jason Smith (Ole Miss): 18 points, three rebounds, five steals, one block.
• Mateen Cleaves (Michigan State): 18 points, one rebound, seven assists, three steals.

SCOUTING THE SPARTANS
Michigan State enters its 22nd Sweet 16 in program history with an overall record of 29-6 after going 17-3 in conference play. In the postseason, the Spartans fell by three points to Wisconsin in their second game of the Big Ten Tournament. Earning a second seed in the NCAA Tournament, they took down Bryant 87-62 in the opening round in Cleveland, Ohio before handling 10-seeded New Mexico 71-63. They entered the tournament with a NET Ranking of 11 in the country.

Their scoring has come from their depth, as they are led by Jaden Akins with an average of 12.7 points per game. However, they have seven players who average 7.0 per outing or more, and rank fifth in the nation in bench points per game with a clip of 34.5. They've been led this year in rebounding by Jaxon Kohler, who averages 7.5 boards per game and has posted seven double-doubles. Their offense runs through guards Jeremy Fears Jr. and Tre Holloman, who average 5.4 and 3.8 assists per game, respectively, to help the team rank 22nd in the country with 16.7 helpers per contest.

The Spartans also rank highly as a team in three-point percentage defense (1st, 27.8), rebound margin (+9.4, 2nd), fastbreak points per game (3rd, 16.1), and defensive rebounds per game (9th, 28.0).

In his 30th season with the program, Tom Izzo has won 736 games, tallying a win percentage of 71.0 percent while posting 20 20-win seasons and five 30-win seasons. Since his third year with the Spartans, he's earned an NCAA Tournament bid every season, 28-straight invites, including eight Final Four appearances and a National Championship in 2000. The 2016 Basketball Hall of Fame inductee is a four-time conference coach of the year, two-time NABC National Coach of the Year, and has been a staple with the program since 1983, when he was an assistant until his promotion to head coach in 1995.

"IT'S OURS FOR THE TAKING, IT'S OURS FOR THE FIGHT"
Ole Miss punched their ticket to the Sweet 16 with a second-round victory over three-seeded Iowa State on Sunday in Milwaukee, Wis. Trailing early in the game, the Rebels snatched the lead midway through the first half and never looked back, leading by as much as 26 in the second period. For the ninth time this season, five players scored in double figures for Ole Miss, led by Sean Pedulla with 20, who dished out eight assists as well. The team shot a blistering 58.2 percent from the floor, 57.9 percent from three, and 76.2 percent from the free throw line, each of which were program records for an NCAA Tournament game. They also tied the school record for made threes in a tournament game with 11, as Jaemyn Brakefield, Malik Dia, Matthew Murrell, and Pedulla each had multiple makes from deep.

Their win propels them to the program's second-ever appearance in the Sweet 16, matched by the 2001 squad.

FIRST ROUND VICTORY
The Rebels opened up their NCAA Tournament last Friday afternoon, facing off with No. 11 North Carolina, clinching a 72-64 win. They came out on fire, making 11 of their first 15 shots to take an early 11-point lead. Sean Pedulla led the team with 20 points while dishing out five assists, Dre Davis added 15 points and eight boards, and Jaemyn Brakefield scored 12. In six career tournament appearances, head coach Chris Beard has never lost in the first round.

OLE MISS AT THE BIG DANCE
This marks the 10th appearance for Ole Miss at the NCAA Tournament, with their last invite coming in 2019. The Rebels are 7-9 all-time in tournament play, making their furthest run in 2001 to the Sweet 16 where they fell to Arizona after wins over Iona and Notre Dame (a mark they've now tied). They opened up play in Milwaukee once before in 1999, when they defeated Villanova in the first round before falling to Michigan State in the second. Their six seed is the highest since 2001, and the third highest overall after they were a four seed in 1998 and a three seed in 2001.

PROGRAM BUILDER
With Ole Miss earning their bid to the 2025 NCAA Tournament, head coach Chris Beard has guided four programs to the big dance during his career. He has joined an elite group of active head coaches who have brought four or more schools to an NCAA Tournament: Steve Alford, Rick Barnes, John Calipari, Fran McCaffery, Rick Pitino, and Kelvin Sampson.

BIG GAME HUNTING
On January 14, Ole Miss took down No. 4 Alabama on the road for their first-ever road win over an AP top-five team, and second win over the fourth-ranked AP team ever. Ole Miss followed that up later in the season, defending their home court on senior day with a win over No. 4 Tennessee on March 5. This marked the first time in program history that an Ole Miss team earned two top-five wins in the same season.

BATTLE TESTED
The 2024-25 schedule for Ole Miss is one of the most difficult in the nation. As of March 26, their cumulative opposition's win percentage of 64.8 ranks as the fifth-highest in the nation, behind only Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, and Purdue. The Rebels have faced 13 ranked opponents this season and six top-five teams, both of which are the most in a single season in school history.

I BE A NEIGHBORHOOD SNIPER
Sean Pedulla
has been on point from beyond the arc this season, drilling 83 shots from three-point range. He's made a three-pointer in 33 of 35 games this year, and connected on multiple shots from deep in 21 contests, including eight games with four or more. His 83 total made threes this season are currently tied for the eighth-most in a single season in program history.

Ole Miss - Single Season Three-Point Field Goals Made
1. 138, Marshall Henderson (36 games, 2012-13)
2. 129, Marshall Henderson (30 games, 2013-14)
3. 111, Chris Warren (35 games, 2009-10)
4. 103, Stefan Moody (31 games, 2015-16)
103, Chris Warren (35 games, 2007-08)
6. 96, Clarence Sanders (34 games, 2006-07)
7. 95, Chris Warren (34 games, 2010-11)
8. 83, Sean Pedulla (35 games, 2024-25)
83, Aaron Harper (31 games, 2001-02)
10. 79, Joe Harvell (28 games, 1991-92)

I'LL TAKE THAT, PLEASE
Sean Pedulla
and Matthew Murrell have had a big impact for the Rebels on defense. Forcing 66 steals on the season, Pedulla currently ranks fifth for most in a single season and has collected a steal in 31 of 35 games during the 2024-25 season, grabbing multiple swipes in 19 games this year with a season-best of five against Oral Roberts.

Murrell has set a new-career best with 55 swipes on the season, tied for the 10th-most in a single year at Ole Miss, with his 176 career steals ranking him fifth all-time in school history.

Ole Miss - Single Season Steals
1. 89, Gerald Glass (30 games, 1988-89)
2. 80, Myles Burns (33 games, 2022-23)
3. 73, Jason Smith (33 games, 1998-99)
4. 70, Gerald Glass (30 games, 1989-90)
5. 66, Sean Pedulla (35 games, 2024-25)
6. 58, Murphy Holloway (36 games, 2012-13)
58, Rod Barnes (29 games, 1987-88)
8. 57, Stefan Moody (34 games, 2014-15)
9. 56, Devontae Shuler (33 games, 2018-19)
10. 55, Matthew Murrell (31 games, 2024-25)
55, Rahim Lockhart (33 games, 1999-2000)
55, Ervin Garnes (27 games, 1993-94)
55, Eric Laird (28 games, 1983-84)

BEARD BALL - A TEAM FOR THE AGES
Currently playing the 115th season of Ole Miss basketball, this year's team has been setting numerous records, achieving countless firsts, and cementing themselves as one of the better teams in the long and storied history of the program. The 2024-25 team's 24 overall wins are tied for the third-most in school history and their 10 SEC victories are tied for the eighth.

Statistically, the Rebels have scored 2,709 total points this season, the fifth-most in a single season in school history. The defense has collected 307 steals this year, the second-most in a single season in program history. They've also connected on an Ole Miss record 291 three point shots, and made the fourth-most free throws at 552. Their current assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.57 is by the far the best margin by an Ole Miss team all time, and their 9.0 turnovers per game is the lowest clip in program history.

Ole Miss has picked up two of the program's three all-time wins over an AP No. 4 team, with wins at No. 4 Alabama and vs. No. 4 Tennessee this season.

AWARD SEASON
As the 2024-25 campaign nears its finish, Ole Miss has begun to earn recognition across the country with award watchlists and finalists rolling in. Head Coach Chris Beard has been named a finalist for the Jim Phelan award (top head coach in Division I), and Skip Prosser Man of the Year award by CollegeInsider.com.

Senior guard Sean Pedulla was announced as a finalist for the 2025 Howell Trophy, given to the top men's college basketball player in the state of Mississippi, and was named a finalist by CollegeInsider.com for the Riley Wallace Transfer of the Year award. The senior guard was also named to the All-SEC Third Team by the conference, and First Team All-District by the NABC.

SPECIAL WEAPON OFF THE BENCH
A consistent starter over the past three seasons at Ole Miss, Jaemyn Brakefield has embraced a role off the bench this season and still been one of the best players on the court. With a season average of 11.1 points per game, Brakefield has 23 double-digit-point games when coming off the bench, best in the SEC.

NCAAM Basketball Mount Rushmore

So in this thread, Beard talks about the College Basketball Mount Rushmore and mentions Izzo would be on it. That got me to thinking, who would be on it?

Wooden, Pitino, and Coach K are likely 3 no doubters. The 4th spot is anyone's guess. Bunch out there. Figured this deserved it's own thread.

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Grok breaks down Ole Miss and Michigan State using advanced stats.

Pretty well-balanced summary by xAI's LLM.

Ole Miss vs. Michigan State: Sweet 16 Breakdown
Team Overviews
  • Ole Miss (No. 6 Seed, 24-11)
    Under second-year coach Chris Beard, Ole Miss has reached the Sweet 16 for only the second time in program history (first since 2001). The Rebels have been a revelation, upsetting No. 11 North Carolina (71-64) and No. 3 Iowa State (91-78) with a potent offense and gritty play. Guards Sean Pedulla and Matthew Murrell lead a balanced attack, while Beard’s defensive tenacity has kept opponents on edge.
  • Michigan State (No. 2 Seed, 29-6)
    Tom Izzo’s Spartans are back in the Sweet 16 for the 16th time under his tenure, showcasing their trademark depth and defensive prowess. They dispatched No. 15 Bryant (87-62) and No. 10 New Mexico (71-63), relying on a balanced scoring effort and a suffocating defense. Jaden Akins and freshman Jase Richardson headline a roster that thrives in March.
Advanced Statistical Comparison
Using KenPom and similar analytical tools, here’s a statistical snapshot based on season-long trends and tournament performances. (Exact 2025 numbers are approximated from available data and patterns as of March 25.)
  1. Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (Points per 100 Possessions)
    • Ole Miss: ~116 (top 25 nationally)
      The Rebels have been lights-out in the tournament, shooting 58.2% from the field and 57.9% from three against Iowa State. Pedulla (20 PPG in tournament) and a five-man double-digit scoring effort vs. Iowa State highlight their firepower. eFG% sits around 54%.
    • Michigan State: ~114 (top 30 nationally)
      MSU’s offense is methodical, averaging 78.2 PPG with an eFG% of ~53%. They excel in second-half surges (e.g., outscoring Bryant 54-34), led by Akins (12.7 PPG season average) and Richardson (11.9 PPG).
  2. Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (Points Allowed per 100 Possessions)
    • Ole Miss: ~98 (top 30 nationally)
      Ole Miss forces 14.3 turnovers per game (37th nationally, +5.4 margin ranks 4th), with Pedulla’s 60 steals leading the charge. They held UNC to 64 points but allowed 78 to Iowa State due to rebounding struggles (outrebounded 34-29).
    • Michigan State: ~92 (top 5 nationally)
      MSU boasts the nation’s No. 1 3-point defense (opponents shoot ~28% from deep) and ranks 5th overall defensively. They’ve held foes to 67 PPG (3rd in Big Ten), with a knack for late-game clamps (e.g., New Mexico scoreless for first 3 minutes of second half).
  3. Pace (Possessions per Game)
    • Ole Miss: ~70 (moderate, adaptable)
      Beard adjusts tempo to exploit mismatches, pushing transition off turnovers (16.2 points off TOs per game).
    • Michigan State: ~68 (deliberate, physical)
      Izzo controls pace, emphasizing half-court execution and rebounding dominance.
  4. Four Factors (Dean Oliver’s Key Metrics)
    • *Shooting (eFG%)**: Ole Miss 54% vs. Michigan State 53%
      Ole Miss’s tournament shooting (11-19 from three vs. Iowa State) gives them a slight edge, but MSU’s consistency is notable.
    • *Turnovers (TO%)**: Ole Miss 13% vs. Michigan State 15%
      Ole Miss’s 8.9 TOs per game (3rd nationally) trumps MSU’s respectable but less elite ball security.
    • *Rebounding (ORB%)**: Ole Miss 28% vs. Michigan State 34%
      MSU punishes on the glass (e.g., outrebounded New Mexico), while Ole Miss ranks 15th in SEC rebounding—a glaring weakness.
    • *Free Throw Rate (FTR)**: Ole Miss 34% vs. Michigan State 32%
      Both teams get to the line, with Ole Miss slightly better at converting (~74% vs. ~72%).
Matchup Analysis
  • Ole Miss’s Advantage: Offensive Versatility and Turnovers
    The Rebels’ five players in double figures vs. Iowa State (Pedulla 20, Brakefield 19, Dia 18, Murrell 15, Murray 11) showcase their depth. Their +5.4 turnover margin could disrupt MSU’s rhythm, especially if Pedulla and Murray pressure guards like Tre Holloman (double digits in 4 of last 5). Ole Miss needs to sustain their 57.9% 3-point shooting against MSU’s elite perimeter D.
  • Michigan State’s Advantage: Defense and Rebounding
    MSU’s No. 1 3-point defense is a nightmare for Ole Miss, who relied on 11 threes to beat Iowa State. The Spartans’ physicality on the boards (34% ORB%) exploits Ole Miss’s rebounding woes (15th in SEC). Akins and Richardson can match Ole Miss’s guards, while MSU’s depth (9-10 players contribute) wears teams down.
  • Key Player Matchup: Pedulla vs. Holloman
    Sean Pedulla’s scoring (20+ in two tournament games) and steals (60 on season) meet their match in Tre Holloman’s recent surge (10+ points in 4 of 5) and defensive tenacity. If Holloman contains Pedulla, MSU neutralizes Ole Miss’s engine.
Predictive Analytics
Using efficiency margins and pace:
  • Expected Score: Michigan State 73, Ole Miss 70
    • MSU offense (114/100 poss.) x 68 poss. = 77.5, adjusted to 73 due to Ole Miss’s defense (98/100 poss.).
    • Ole Miss offense (116/100 poss.) x 70 poss. = 81.2, adjusted to 70 due to MSU’s elite defense (92/100 poss.).
  • Win Probability: Michigan State 60%, Ole Miss 40% (based on 6-point efficiency edge: 22 combined offense/defense).
    MSU’s defensive edge and rebounding tilt this, but Ole Miss’s hot shooting keeps it tight.
Intangibles
  • Venue: Atlanta is SEC territory (~2.5 hours from Oxford, MS), potentially boosting Ole Miss fan support.
  • Experience: Izzo’s 16th Sweet 16 trumps Beard’s second, though Beard’s 2019 Final Four run with Texas Tech (over MSU) adds intrigue.
  • Momentum: Ole Miss’s 91-point outburst vs. Iowa State is electric, but MSU’s second-half dominance (20-12 run vs. New Mexico) signals resilience.
Conclusion
Michigan State should edge out Ole Miss to reach the Elite Eight. Their top-tier defense, particularly against the three, likely cools Ole Miss’s shooting, while rebounding dominance generates second-chance points. Ole Miss can win if they force 15+ turnovers and hit 10+ threes, but MSU’s depth and Izzo’s March savvy make that a tall order. Prediction: Michigan State 73-70.

Pray for my Son Update 3/25/25

Some of you guys will remember me posting about my baby last year and his heart condition. He was scheduled to have his major surgery yesterday at UMMC to correct most of his heart problems. The surgeon came in and said he wasn't comfortable doing the procedure with the info he had at the time. We did a few different test and determined we will go to a different facility. His heart condition is very very rare. So if you would send some prayers or good thoughts up for Charlie. His cardiologist is getting everything together to send to Houston and Boston for their review. Fortunately he is young enough to not have to worry about it. Mom and Dad are wound up tight. Most likely we will do they surgery in Boston. If anyone has any good Boston recs I would appreciate them.

ETA: His condition is very rare. Boston invented the procedure 40 years ago and they have only done around 110 of them. Its about to make My wife and I crazy looking at a healthy looking baby knowing he has a shit heart. He has a complete heart block along with LTGA. He got a pacemaker at 8 days old. All of his conditions make him an extremely high risk patient.
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